Nate Silver's Blog, page 42

Politics Podcast: The Veepstakes Are Almost Over

By Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Perry Bacon Jr. and Sarah Frostenson, Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Perry Bacon Jr. and Sarah Frostenson, Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Perry Bacon Jr. and Sarah Frostenson and Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Perry Bacon Jr. and Sarah Frostenson












 












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After missing multiple self-imposed deadlines, presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden is expected to announce his running mate this week. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the conflict within the Democratic Party over who that pick should be and why the campaign has floated disparate and little-known contenders. They also compare Biden’s standing in the polls with Hillary Clinton’s standing at this point in 2016, her peak during that cycle.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Do You Buy That … Kamala Harris Is Most Likely To Become Biden’s Running Mate?

The GDP Data Is Terrible. That Doesn’t Mean Trump Is Bound To Lose.

In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how well economic data can predict the outcome of an election. They also take a look at what could happen if President Trump casts doubt on the legitimacy of the election in November.

Politics Podcast: Can Economic Data Predict Elections?

By Galen Druke, Sarah Frostenson, Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr., Galen Druke, Sarah Frostenson, Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr., Galen Druke, Sarah Frostenson, Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr. and Galen Druke, Sarah Frostenson, Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr.












 












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Last week economic data revealed the largest-ever quarterly contraction of the U.S. economy. The second-quarter GDP shrunk by an annual rate of nearly 33 percent. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew asks how well economic data alone can predict the outcome of a presidential election. They also discuss the potential consequences of President Trump’s repeated attempts to cast doubt on election results.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Do You Buy That … We Could See A Delay In Election Results?

How Biden’s VP Pick Could Shape Perceptions Of The Ticket Overall

In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the upsides and downsides of Joe Biden’s choices for a running mate. They also talk about the protests in Portland and President Trump’s response.

Politics Podcast: Biden’s VP Announcement Could Come Any Day Now

By Galen Druke, Clare Malone, Perry Bacon Jr. and Nate Silver, Galen Druke, Clare Malone, Perry Bacon Jr. and Nate Silver, Galen Druke, Clare Malone, Perry Bacon Jr. and Nate Silver and Galen Druke, Clare Malone, Perry Bacon Jr. and Nate Silver












 












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Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden could announce his running mate as soon as the end of this week, according to the time frame he laid out. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew discusses the positive and negative narratives that could emerge from each of his potential choices. They also ask why President Trump is sending federal agents into U.S. cities and how this relates to his reelection message.

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

Do You Buy That … Coronavirus Will Be What Makes Or Breaks Trump’s Re-election Prospects?

Do You Buy That … Mail-In Voting Will Hurt Republicans?

COVID-19 Deaths Are Increasing. Americans Disagree With Trump On What To Do About It.

In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether Americans and politicians agree on how to respond to the recent surge in coronavirus cases. They also question what some Democrats took to be the lesson of the 2016 election — that the party should focus less on “identity politics.”