Nate Silver


Born
in East Lansing, Michigan, The United States
January 13, 1978

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Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseball and elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.

In 2007, writing under the pseudonym "Poblano", Silver began to publish analyses and predictions related to the 2008 United States presidential election. At first this work appeared on the political blog Daily Kos, but in March 2008 Silver established his own website, FiveThi
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Nate Silver isn't a Goodreads Author (yet), but he does have a blog, so here are some recent posts imported from his feed.

If Liz Cheney Doesn’t Have A Home In The GOP, Who Does?

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew plays a trivia game to figure out what role Republicans like Rep. Liz Cheney will have in the future of the party. They also break down Florida’s new voting law and talk about the GOP’s efforts to change the way Americans vote.

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Published on May 11, 2021 06:25
Average rating: 3.97 · 46,777 ratings · 3,173 reviews · 6 distinct worksSimilar authors
The Signal and the Noise: W...

3.97 avg rating — 46,082 ratings — published 2012 — 42 editions
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The Best American Infograph...

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The Best American Infograph...

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4.14 avg rating — 188 ratings — published 2015 — 2 editions
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Baseball Prospectus 2009: T...

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4.22 avg rating — 150 ratings — published 2009
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The Importance of Ideas: 16...

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3.31 avg rating — 26 ratings — published 2014
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Baseball Between the Number...

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4.01 avg rating — 3,646 ratings — published 2006 — 8 editions
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“Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

“Most of you will have heard the maxim "correlation does not imply causation." Just because two variables have a statistical relationship with each other does not mean that one is responsible for the other. For instance, ice cream sales and forest fires are correlated because both occur more often in the summer heat. But there is no causation; you don't light a patch of the Montana brush on fire when you buy a pint of Haagan-Dazs.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

“The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

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