Nate Silver's Blog, page 2
March 31, 2023
Will Trump’s Indictment Matter In 2024?
In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew reacts to news that former President Donald Trump was indicted by a Manhattan grand jury in a case involving hush money payments to porn actor Stormy Daniels. They discuss the possible political implications and what will come next in the case.
Emergency Politics Podcast: Trump Is Indicted
In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew reacts to news that former President Donald Trump was indicted by a Manhattan grand jury in a case involving hush money payments to porn actor Stormy Daniels. They discuss the possible political implications and what will come next in the case.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
March 20, 2023
Bank Bailout Politics 2.0
In part 2 of this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks back at the bailout of American banks during the 2007-’08 financial crisis.
20 Years After The Iraq Invasion, Are Americans More Skeptical Of Getting Involved Abroad?
In part 1 of this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks back at the 2003 invasion of Iraq as the country marks the 20th anniversary of the Iraq War.
Politics Podcast: The 2000s Called, They Want Their Politics Back
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks back at two of the most notable American political decisions of the 21st century: the 2003 invasion of Iraq and the bailout of American banks during the 2007-’08 financial crisis. Both feel relevant today, as the country marks the 20th anniversary of the Iraq War and the government responds to two of the largest bank failures in the U.S. history.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
March 13, 2023
Polls Haven’t Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998
In part 1 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew explains why the polls in 2022 had one of its most successful election cycles in U.S. history.
Politics Podcast: This Is The Best Pollster In America
Polling had its most accurate election cycle in at least 25 years in 2022. That may come as a surprise to election watchers who suggested that the polls had a notable pro-Republican bias. But in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew explains the numbers behind that conclusion. The finding suggests that, despite a lot of handwringing, polling is still just about as accurate as it’s ever been. Later in the show, Galen Druke speaks with Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux about how the debate over abortion has evolved in the aftermath of the 2022 midterms.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
March 12, 2023
2023 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight
2023 March Madness Predictions
In-game win probabilities and chances of advancing, updating live.
March 9, 2023
What Would Happen If Trump Was A Third-Party Candidate In 2024?
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke and Nate Silver open up the mailbag and answer listener questions about politics and polling. They cover American skepticism of artificial intelligence — according to one poll, only 9 percent of Americans say it will do more good than harm to society — and consider what to make of former president Donald Trump’s gains on Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in early Republican presidential primary polling.
Politics Podcast: Few Americans Think AI Will Do More Good Than Harm
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke and Nate Silver open up the mailbag and answer listener questions about politics and polling. They cover American skepticism of artificial intelligence — according to one poll, only 9 percent of Americans say it will do more good than harm to society — and consider what to make of former president Donald Trump’s gains on Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in early Republican presidential primary polling.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
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