Nate Silver's Blog, page 3
March 6, 2023
Why Lori Lightfoot Lost The Chicago Mayor’s Race
In part 3 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew takes a look at the results of recent elections in Chicago, Wisconsin and Virginia to see if they hold any lessons about the national political environment.
The Poll That Ended Dilbert
In part 2 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew breaks down the Rasmussen Reports poll that Dilbert creator Scott Adams went on a racist rant over in this week’s GUOP/BUOP.
Could Biden Be Vulnerable In A Primary?
In part 1 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew discusses author Marianne Williamson’s official bid in the 2024 Democratic primary. With multiple polls suggesting that a majority of Democrats don’t want President Biden to run for reelection, the gang ask whether or not he might be vulnerable against the right challenger?
Politics Podcast: The Poll That Ended Dilbert
Author Marianne Williamson officially entered the 2024 Democratic presidential primary on Saturday. President Biden has yet to announce his reelection campaign, but every indication is that he plans to do so. It’s very unlikely that Williamson will be a serious challenger to Biden, but with multiple polls suggesting that a majority of Democrats don’t want Biden to run for reelection, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew asks if he might be vulnerable against the right challenger?
They also take a look at the results of recent elections in Chicago, Wisconsin and Virginia to see if they hold any lessons about the national political environment. And they ask whether the poll that Dilbert creator Scott Adams went on a racist rant over was actually a meaningful poll.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
February 27, 2023
Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver breaks down President Biden’s reelection chances on “This Week.”
February 16, 2023
Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis
This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. She is a former state legislator and two term governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the U.N. under Trump. If she were to win the nomination, she would be the first woman and first Asian American to lead the Republican ticket.
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls.
Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination?
This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. She is a former state legislator and two term governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the U.N. under Trump. If she were to win the nomination, she would be the first woman and first Asian American to lead the Republican ticket.
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
February 13, 2023
Will GOP Elites Rally Around Someone Other Than Trump In 2024?
In Part 3 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew wonders whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump for the 2024 elections.
Will GOP Elites Rally Around A Trump Alternative In 2024?
In Part 3 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast, the crew wonders whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump for the 2024 elections.
Will UFOs Push U.S.-China Relations To The Brink?
In Part 2 of this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks at changing public opinion on China and how it could shape American politics.
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