Nate Silver's Blog, page 18
January 26, 2022
How The Supreme Court Will Change Without Breyer
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Justice Stephen Breyer — a more moderate justice among the liberal minority — retires. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the country’s broader political environment in a midterm election year.
Emergency Politics Podcast: Justice Breyer Is Retiring
U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer is planning to retire at the end of the court’s current term, clearing the way for President Biden to appoint a new justice. Biden said during a 2020 Democratic presidential primary debate in South Carolina that if elected, he would nominate a Black woman to the nation’s highest court, and media speculation is heavily focused now on D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson.
In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change after the retirement of Breyer, a more moderate justice among the court’s liberal wing. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will affect the country’s broader political environment in a midterm election year.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
January 24, 2022
January 10, 2022
January 4, 2022
How Healthy Is U.S. Democracy One Year After Jan. 6?
In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, it seemed like Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. But a year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why the country responded to the attack the way it did and how healthy America’s democracy is today.
Politics Podcast: Why Jan. 6 Was Not A Turning Point
In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. His attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election were apparent, as was his support of the people who entered the Capitol and his reluctance to stop them. But a year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the Republican Party, and those within the party who voted to impeach him over Jan. 6 are pariahs.
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
December 20, 2021
Why Manchin Is A ‘No’ On Build Back Better
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin isn’t supporting President Biden’s Build Back Better plan and where Democrats might go from here. They also look back at 2021 to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and talk about how their understanding of American politics was challenged. (edited)
Politics Podcast: The Biggest Political Surprises Of 2021
President Biden’s $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet. On Sunday, West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced in a TV interview that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses Manchin’s rationale and where Democrats might go from here. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
December 13, 2021
Why High Inflation Is Such A Political Landmine
According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are currently split evenly between supporting Democratic and Republican congressional candidates, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew asks whether that poll is a good or bad use of polling. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent.
Politics Podcast: How Much Have Hispanic Voters Shifted Toward The GOP?
According to a new poll out from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. Given some of the caveats attached to the results, in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew asks whether it’s a good or bad use of polling.
They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries. He has so far been uniquely involved in intra-party contests for a former president, and appears to be trying to enact revenge on elected officials who did not support his false claims that the 2020 election was stolen. Lastly, FiveThirtyEight’s Santul Nerkar discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent, after the Consumer Price Index showed prices rising at their fasted rate in nearly 40 years.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
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