Nate Silver's Blog, page 17
March 21, 2022
March 17, 2022
March 14, 2022
Is Biden To Blame For High Gas Prices?
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outlines the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. And two-plus years since the coronavirus pandemic hit the U.S., the crew uses data to explore some of the ways American life has changed.
Politics Podcast: The Political Price Of Gas
Who gets blamed when gas prices go up? And what are the political consequences? Last week, President Biden announced that the U.S. would ban imports of Russian oil and warned that it would mean higher prices at the pump. That comes after a year of rising prices already. The average cost in the U.S. today is $4.33 per gallon. A year ago, it was $2.86, according to AAA. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outlines the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down.
The crew also explores some of the ways American life has changed in the two-plus years since the U.S. started introducing measures to fight the coronavirus pandemic. And they ask whether polling accuracy can be improved by asking respondents to flip a coin.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
March 13, 2022
2022 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight
2022 March Madness Predictions
In-game win probabilities and chances of advancing, updating live.
February 8, 2022
How Americans’ Exhaustion With COVID-19 Is Shaping Politics
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how Americans are feeling about the pandemic and the types of restrictions they do and don’t support to stop the spread of COVID-19. They also talk about some recent big developments in the redistricting process happening around the country now.
February 7, 2022
Politics Podcast: Americans Say They’re Over COVID-19. What Does That Mean?
We are approaching the two-year mark of living with the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. Though the omicron wave is receding, the virus will unlikely just disappear, and people are unhappy and angry — about COVID-19 and plenty else. In surveys, more Americans are saying they’re unhappy in their own lives, about two-thirds think the country is on the wrong track, and Biden is a percentage point away from Trump’s record for being the least popular postwar president at this point in his term. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how Americans are feeling and which types of COVID-19 restrictions they do and don’t support.
The podcast also covers some big recent developments in the redistricting process happening around the country now. New York signed into law a map that aggressively advantages Democrats, and elsewhere, state and federal courts have struck down maps they consider gerrymanders.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
February 1, 2022
The 7 Most Important Senate Races, Ranked
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a “good or bad use of polling.” They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the chamber next year.
January 31, 2022
Politics Podcast: Are There More Republicans Than Democrats In America?
Decades of polling have suggested that, in general, more Americans sympathize with the Democratic Party than with the Republican Party. This advantage has been so durable that it’s become conventional wisdom in American politics. But a recent Gallup poll shows Republicans taking the lead over Democrats, 47 percent to 42 percent, in terms of how Americans identify. The poll has been the subject of plenty of commentary, and in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether those takeaways and underlying data are a “good or bad use of polling.”
The team also talks about the Senate races in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Georgia and New Hampshire and debates which are most important in determining control of the upper chamber next year.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
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