Nate Silver's Blog, page 19
December 10, 2021
What Would It Take To ‘Fix’ Polling … And Other Questions From Podcast Listeners
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to “fix polling” and why Vice President Kamala Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press covers Biden more negatively than it did former President Donald Trump is a “good or bad use of data.”
December 9, 2021
Politics Podcast: Is The Media Tougher On Biden Than Trump?
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to “fix polling” and why Vice President Kamala Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on former President Donald Trump is a “good or bad use of data.”
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
December 6, 2021
November 23, 2021
There Won’t Be Many Competitive Districts Left After This Round Of Gerrymandering
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what the future of the budget reconciliation bill might look like in the Senate and why some provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving.
November 22, 2021
Politics Podcast: What The Two Parties Should Be Thankful For
On Friday, the House narrowly passed the Build Back Better Act, which if enacted into law would allocate approximately $2 trillion to tackle the social safety net, health care and climate change over the next 10 years. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what the future of the bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
November 18, 2021
Politics Podcast: What 44 Days In Las Vegas Taught Nate Silver
Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the Strip. On the topic of Vegas, he discusses the importance of being observant while engaging in risky behavior — like poker — and shares tips for late-night food. On politics, he answers questions about the role policy plays in voters’ decisions and whether people become more conservative as they age.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
November 8, 2021
Exit Polls Can’t Always Explain Why Voters Vote The Way They Do
Pundits have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in last week’s elections and what those results portend for the 2022 midterm elections. In this installment of the Politics podcast, the FiveThirtyEight crew runs down a list of theories in a game of ‘Buy, Sell, or Hold’ to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments.
Politics Podcast: Which Election Day Hot Takes Do You Buy?
Nearly a week after Virginia’s and New Jersey’s elections, Democrats are still debating what went wrong for them. Pundits have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. In this installment of the Politics podcast, the FiveThirtyEight crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments.
They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intraparty disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
November 1, 2021
Do You Buy That … Political Forces Are Aligned On Climate Change?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver breaks down whether public opinion on climate change will lead to policy changes on ABC’s “This Week.”
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