Nate Silver's Blog, page 28
January 28, 2021
Politics Podcast: The Final Model Talk Of 2020
The true climaxes of the 2020 election cycle — the double Senate runoff races in Georgia — were quickly overshadowed by the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke look back at the results of those runoffs and discuss what the Democratic wins say about polling and what they mean for elections going forward.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
[Related: An Updating Calculation Of President Joe Biden’s Approval Rating]
How Popular Is Joe Biden?
An updating calculation of the president’s approval rating, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.
January 25, 2021
Partisans Don’t Just Disagree, They Hate One Another
In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what has contributed to partisan discord and why Americans are not just disagreeing with one another on policy but actually seeing the other side as “evil.” They also look at the dynamics in Congress that will determine whether President Biden can pass his agenda.
Politics Podcast: The Lawmakers Who Will Determine What Gets Through Congress
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Maggie Koerth join the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast to discuss their reporting on partisan discord and violence in the United States — and why Americans don’t just disagree with one another on policy but actually see one another as “evil.” The crew also looks at the dynamics in Congress that will determine whether President Biden can pass his agenda.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
January 20, 2021
Is Biden’s Vision Of Unity Possible?
In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew reacts to President Biden’s inauguration speech — particularly his stated goal to unite the country and whether it will be successful — and looks at his policy agenda for his first week in office.
Politics Podcast: The Biden Presidency Begins
On the first FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Biden presidency, the crew reacts to Biden’s inauguration speech — particularly whether any attempt to unite the country will be successful — and looks at what his policy plans are for his first week in office.
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
January 19, 2021
The Pandemic And The Attack On The Capitol Will Likely Define Trump’s Presidency
In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers joins the crew to discuss Donald Trump’s presidency, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be.
Politics Podcast: Did Trump Change The Rules Of Politics?
For the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency, the crew is joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers to discuss Trump’s legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. To help, they look back at an article editor-in-chief Nate Silver wrote shortly after Trump was inaugurated, “14 Versions Of Trump’s Presidency, From #MAGA To Impeachment,” to see what came true (and what Nate didn’t predict).
You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes , the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen .
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes . Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.
January 12, 2021
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