Josh Culp's Blog, page 12
August 28, 2018
Made in Denmark Fantasy Preview
Heading for a new course this week, a few golfers will look to make their final stand in terms of earning a European Ryder Cup Captain’s pick. Realistically the team is already set because there are a lot of heavy hitters that are outside the automatic qualifying bubble.
The course is Silkeborg Ry Golf Club which is one of the shorter courses these guys will see all year. That doesn’t change much from what we’ve seen here in the past because Himmerland was also extremely short.
I took the time to look this course up on Google Earth and IT IS EXTREMELY TREE-LINED. It’s basically carved out through a forest so I wouldn’t expect to see many drivers hit this week, compared to a normal tour stop.
Looking at the published scorecard, there are zero par 3s over 195 yards. None of the par 4s are over 450 yards and none of the par 5s are over 560 yards. That all adds up to a sub-7000 yard layout.
These golfers should be able to pick this course apart from a yardage standpoint, but keeping it out of the trees will be the tough part. The greens are a poa/bent mixture.
Let’s look at a few stats to see who might fare well this week:
Top Performers on Short Courses (since 2015)
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Soren Kjeldsen
Martin Kaymer
Richie Ramsay
Hideto Tanihara
Robert Rock
Paul Peterson
Adrian Otaegui
David Horsey
Lee Westwood
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Thomas Pieters
Thorbjorn Olesen
Soren Kjeldsen
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Fabrizio Zanotti
Richard Sterne
Danny Willett
Thomas Detry
Lee Westwood
Martin Kaymer
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Martin Kaymer
Soren Kjeldsen
Lee Westwood
Richard Sterne
Danny Willett
Thomas Pieters
Thorbjorn Olesen
Jaco Van Zyl
Bradley Dredge
Top Performers against Weak Fields (since 2015)
Matt Wallace
Robert Rock
David Horsey
Martin Kaymer
Dean Burmester
Matthias Schwab
Thomas Detry
Thomas Aiken
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Joakim Lagergren
Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)
Martin Kaymer
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Jaco Van Zyl
Richard Sterne
Soren Kjeldsen
Lee Westwood
Bradley Dredge
Matthias Schwab
Jeunghun Wang
Thorbjorn Olesen
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Martin Kaymer, Matthew Fitzpatrick
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Lee Westwood, Soren Kjeldsen
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Thorbjorn Olesen, Richard Sterne
My Top 25 for the 2018 Made in Denmark
1. Thomas Pieters
2. Thorbjorn Olesen
3. Danny Willett
4. Lee Westwood
5. Matthias Schwab
6. Erik van Rooyen
7. Robert Rock
8. Matthew Fitzpatrick
9. Richard Sterne
10. Lucas Herbert
11. Thomas Detry
12. Dean Burmester
13. Thomas Aiken
14. Soren Kjeldsen
15. Eddie Pepperell
16. Bradley Dredge
17. Martin Kaymer
18. David Horsey
19. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
20. Jordan Smith
21. Matt Wallace
22. Richie Ramsay
23. Hideto Tanihara
24. Adrian Otaegui
25. Gaganjeet Bhullar
August 21, 2018
Czech Masters Fantasy Preview
We had a bit of a surprise winner in Paul Waring last week but it was a relatively strong leaderboard around him at the Nordea Masters.
This week we head to the Czech Republic to take on Albatross Golf Resort. It’s a par 72 that plays to about 7,470 yards. Pretty long but over 1,200 of the yards are eaten up by two of the par 5s (639 yards and 603 yards) and there is also slight altitude (~1,300 feet).
On raw yardage it seems like a course suited for big hitters only but we’ve had a good blend of bombers and short knockers both contending here in Prague.
The field is rather weak as the big names are either playing overseas in the FedExCup Playoffs or resting before the Ryder Cup.
There is water on 7 holes and the greens are bentgrass.
Let’s look at a few stats to see who might fare well this week:
Top Performers on Mainland Europe (since 2015)
Lee Westwood
Thomas Pieters
Soren Kjeldsen
Matt Wallace
Andrew Johnston
Mikko Korhonen
Scott Hend
David Lipsky
Lucas Herbert
Nino Bertasio
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Thomas Pieters
Soren Kjeldsen
Lee Westwood
Scott Hend
Danny Willett
Nacho Elvira
Eddie Pepperell
Andrew Johnston
Lee Slattery
Richard Bland
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Lee Westwood
Soren Kjeldsen
Danny Willett
Thomas Pieters
Mikko Korhonen
Andrew Johnston
Thomas Aiken
Nicolas Colsaerts
Benjamin Hebert
Dean Burmester
Top Performers against Weak Fields (since 2015)
Matt Wallace
Andrew Johnston
Mikko Korhonen
Paul Waring
Dean Burmester
Thomas Aiken
David Lipsky
Lee Westwood
Maximilian Kieffer
Matthias Schwab
Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)
Lee Westwood
Soren Kjeldsen
Jeunghun Wang
Andrew Johnston
Nicolas Colsaerts
Maximilian Kieffer
Thomas Pieters
Matthias Schwab
Thomas Aiken
Gregory Bourdy
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Lee Westwood, Beef Johnston
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Thomas Pieters, Soren Kjeldsen
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Thomas Aiken, Mikko Korhonen
My Top 25 for the 2018 Czech Masters
1. Thomas Pieters
2. Lee Westwood
3. Dean Burmester
4. Eddie Pepperell
5. Soren Kjeldsen
6. Danny Willett
7. Benjamin Hebert
8. Maximilian Kieffer
9. Lucas Herbert
10. Thomas Aiken
11. David Lipsky
12. Aaron Rai
13. Ashley Chesters
14. Nacho Elvira
15. Matthias Schwab
16. Jordan Smith
17. Nicolas Colsaerts
18. Matt Wallace
19. Mikko Korhonen
20. James Morrison
21. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
22. Andrew Johnston
23. Tom Lewis
24. Andrea Pavan
25. Scott Hend
August 15, 2018
Nordea Masters Fantasy Preview
It’s been a few weeks since we’ve looked at the European Tour but it’s back in action this week with the Nordea Masters in Gothenburg, Sweden.
The course is a fresh one, called The Hills Golf Club. It’s a par 71 that plays just under 7,200 yards. As you’d expect by the name, it’s a hilly golf course and also features bentgrass fairways and greens.
It’s been hot and dry in the lead-up but the forecast calls for showers on Friday and Saturday with temps in the mid-60s. Golfers from the Nordic countries should feel right at home in this weather.
The potential for showers on Friday might lead to a tee-time advantage but it’s hard to say that with certainty. Personally, I would rather have a Thursday PM tee time because it would give me a better chance of finishing 36 holes before the weekend, if there is a delay.
There are a few interesting sponsor invites this week in Dru Love and Brad Fritsch. Love recently won the Colorado Open on a course I played a few times back when I lived in Denver. He has the bloodlines and pedigree and now he might have some confidence. Fritsch has top 10s in 6% of his 71 career PGA TOUR starts so the upside is there, especially in a field like this one.
Freddie Jacobson is also set to make his first start in ages.
Thorbjorn Olesen had an airline lose TWO sets of his clubs but he got them back and should be good to go as he tries to play his way onto the Ryder Cup.
Let’s look at a few stats to see who might fare well this week:
Top Performers on Mainland Europe (since 2015)
Martin Kaymer
Soren Kjeldsen
Thorbjorn Olesen
Alexander Bjork
Thomas Detry
Lucas Bjerregaard
Nicolas Colsaerts
Andrew Johnston
Matthias Schwab
Nacho Elvira
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Alexander Bjork
Soren Kjeldsen
Thorbjorn Olesen
Thomas Detry
Martin Kaymer
Richie Ramsay
Nacho Elvira
Bradley Dredge
Richard Bland
Nicolas Colsaerts
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Martin Kaymer
Alexander Bjork
Soren Kjeldsen
Thorbjorn Olesen
Bradley Dredge
Richie Ramsay
Nicolas Colsaerts
Andrew Johnston
Benjamin Hebert
Robert Rock
Top Performers against Weak Fields (since 2015)
Andrew Johnston
Martin Kaymer
Alexander Bjork
Robert Rock
Paul Waring
Matthias Schwab
Joakim Lagergren
Thomas Detry
Jeunghun Wang
Benjamin Hebert
Golfers that show up on all FOUR lists: Alexander Bjork, Martin Kaymer
Golfers that show up on 3-of-4 lists: Thorbjorn Olesen, Soren Kjeldsen, Thomas Detry, Andrew Johnston, Nicolas Colsaerts
Golfers that show up on 2-of-4 lists: Matthias Schwab, Benjamin Hebert, Robert Rock, Nacho Elvira, Richie Ramsay, Bradley Dredge
My Top 25 for the 2018 Nordea Masters
1. Thorbjorn Olesen
2. Alexander Bjork
3. Soren Kjeldsen
4. Thomas Detry
5. Aaron Rai
6. Matthias Schwab
7. Marcus Kinhult
8. Nacho Elvira
9. Hideto Tanihara
10. Robert Rock
11. Lucas Bjerregaard
12. Bradley Dredge
13. Maximilian Kieffer
14. Joakim Lagergren
15. Ashley Chesters
16. Benjamin Hebert
17. Matthew Southgate
18. Martin Kaymer
19. Scott Jamieson
20. Nicolas Colsaerts
21. Nino Bertasio
22. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
23. Andrew Johnston
24. Andrea Pavan
25. Richie Ramsay
July 25, 2018
Porsche European Open Fantasy Preview
The European Tour will head to Germany this week for the European Open.
The course is a rather interesting one. It’s Green Eagles Golf Course. It’s unique because it’s a par-72 layout with FIVE par 5s and FIVE par 3s. It hosted here last year when Jordan Smith beat Alexander Levy in a playoff.
At 7,583 yards, it’s one of the longer venues but that’s not even playing from the tips. This course prides itself on being one of the longest in all of Europe but they keep it in check for this event.
The raw length of the course is one challenge, but avoiding water is the other. There is water on 15 of 18 holes. This puts a premium on precision.
Looking at the par 5s, four of them check in at 595 yards or longer. That means they are three-shot holes anyway, which again takes away the length advantage you’d initially expect to see here after looking at scorecard.
Overall, this course played right around level par last year and all varieties of play styles are able to contend here.
Let’s look at a few angles to see who might fit the course this week:
Top Performers on Continental Europe (since 2015)
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Soren Kjeldsen
Scott Hend
David Horsey
Alexander Levy
Nicolas Colsaerts
Lucas Bjerregaard
David Lipsky
Nacho Elvira
Adrian Otaegui
Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)
Alexander Levy
Charl Schwartzel
Richard Sterne
Bradley Dredge
Soren Kjeldsen
Jeunghun Wang
Richie Ramsay
Nicolas Colsaerts
Maximilian Kieffer
Thomas Detry
Top Performers on Long Courses (since 2015)
Jeunghun Wang
Alexander Levy
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Jordan SMITH
Bradley Dredge
Charl Schwartzel
Callum Shinkwin
Soren Kjeldsen
Richard Sterne
Mikko Ilonen
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Soren Kjeldsen
Richard Sterne
Charl Schwartzel
Alexander Levy
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Bradley Dredge
Richie Ramsay
Nicolas Colsaerts
David Horsey
Jordan SMITH
Top Performers against Weak Fields (since 2015)
Alexander Levy
Charl Schwartzel
David Horsey
Aaron Rai
Richard Sterne
Benjamin Hebert
Thomas Detry
David Lipsky
Lucas Bjerregaard
Matthias Schwab
Scott Jamieson
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Alexander Levy
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Charl Schwartzel, Soren Kjeldsen, Richard Sterne
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Mike Lorenzo-Vera, David Horsey, Nicolas Colsaerts, Bradley Dredge
My Top 25 for the 2018 Euro Open
1. Patrick Reed
2. Jordan Smith
3. Paul Casey
4. Aaron Rai
5. Adrian Otaegui
6. Nacho Elvira
7. Benjamin Hebert
8. Ashley Chesters
9. Richard Sterne
10. Soren Kjeldsen
11. Scott Hend
12. Bryson DeChambeau
13. Thomas Detry
14. Charl Schwartzel
15. Nicolas Colsaerts
16. David Horsey
17. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
18. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
19. Matthias Schwab
20. Bradley Dredge
21. Alexander Levy
22. Mikko Ilonen
23. Richie Ramsay
24. David Lipsky
25. Lucas Bjerregaard
July 10, 2018
Scottish Open Fantasy Preview
Heading back to Gullane Golf Club, the Scottish Open boasts a very strong field this week as many stars are prepping for The Open Championship which takes place next week at Carnoustie.
Gullane GC hosted the Scottish Open back in 2015. Rickie Fowler won that edition while Matt Kuchar finished one shot back.
Keeping with the theme of last week’s Irish Open we have another links layout against a strong field. The greens are a bent/fescue/poa blend. The only major difference is we’re now dealing with a par 70 instead of a par 72. That’s eight less par 5s to feast on throughout the week.
In true Scotland fashion, we have temps in the mid 60s with rain possible throughout the event. As we often see on links layouts, it’s certainly possible that one side of the draw gets a small advantage before the cut.
Let’s look at a few angles to see who might fit the course this week:
Top Performers in GB&I (since 2015)
Tyrrell Hatton
Andy Sullivan
Ross Fisher
Chris Wood
Russell Knox
Graeme Mcdowell
Richie Ramsay
Soren Kjeldsen
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Jorge Campillo
Top Performers on Par 70s (since 2015)
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Fabrizio Zanotti
Mikko Ilonen
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Tyrrell Hatton
Lucas Bjerregaard
Thongchai Jaidee
Richard Sterne
Scott Hend
Alexander Bjork
Top Performers on Links Layouts (since 2015)
Andy Sullivan
Chris Wood
Joakim Lagergren
Tyrrell Hatton
Jorge Campillo
Ross Fisher
Julien Guerrier
Romain Wattel
Ryan Fox
Robert Rock
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Andy Sullivan
Tyrrell Hatton
Ross Fisher
Martin Kaymer
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Russell Knox
Lee Westwood
Paul Dunne
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Ian Poulter
Top Performers against Strong Fields (since 2015)
Tyrrell Hatton
Peter Uihlein
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Justin Rose
Ross Fisher
Martin Kaymer
Russell Knox
Ian Poulter
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Andy Sullivan
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Tyrell Hatton
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Andy Sullivan, Ross Fisher, Rafa Cabrera Bello
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Russell Knox, Matthew Fitzpatrick
My Top 30 for the 2018 Scottish Open
1. Justin Rose
2. Andy Sullivan
3. Ian Poulter
4. Rickie Fowler
5. Tyrrell Hatton
6. Chris Wood
7. Rafa Cabrera Bello
8. Patrick Reed
9. Ross Fisher
10. Alexander Bjork
11. Matthew Fitzpatrick
12. Russell Knox
13. Lee Westwood
14. Matt Kuchar
15. Ryan Fox
16. Graeme Mcdowell
17. Julian Suri
18. Peter Uihlein
19. Soren Kjeldsen
20. Louis Oosthuizen
21. Hideki Matsuyama
22. Jorge Campillo
23. Martin Kaymer
24. Paul Dunne
25. Phil Mickelson
26. Kiradech Aphibarnrat
27. Hao Tong Li
28. Thomas Pieters
29. Danny Willett
30. Erik van Rooyen
July 3, 2018
Irish Open Fantasy Preview
With just a few weeks remaining until The Open Championship, the fields on the European Tour stay strong.
The headliners this week are Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm but there is plenty of mid-to-top-tier talent just behind them as we head to Ireland for the fourth Rolex Series event of the season.
The course is Ballyliffin GC, a links layout that plays to 7,462 yards on the scorecard with a par of 72.
There isn’t any history on the course so we’ll need to rely on course fit to fit some of these pegs into the proper holes.
Let’s look at a few angles to see who might fit the course this week:
Top Performers in GB&I (since 2015)
Shane Lowry
Graeme Mcdowell
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Andy Sullivan
Soren Kjeldsen
Richie Ramsay
Chris Wood
Paul Dunne
Bradley Dredge
Rory Mcilroy
Top Performers on Par 72s (since 2015)
Rory Mcilroy
Jon Rahm
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Alexander Levy
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Alexander Bjork
Shane Lowry
Peter Uihlein
Jorge Campillo
Andy Sullivan
Top Performers on Links Layouts (since 2015)
Andy Sullivan
Julien Guerrier
Joakim Lagergren
Chris Wood
Eddie Pepperell
Richie Ramsay
Paul Dunne
Romain Wattel
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Robert Rock
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Jon Rahm
Andy Sullivan
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Alexander Bjork
Julian Suri
Ryan Fox
Soren Kjeldsen
Scott Hend
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Adrian Otaegui
Top Performers against Strong Fields (since 2015)
Rory Mcilroy
Jon Rahm
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Peter Uihlein
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Shane Lowry
Andy Sullivan
Paul Dunne
Hao Tong Li
Lee Westwood
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Rafa Cabrera Bello, Andy Sullivan
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: NONE
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Paul Dunne, Shane Lowry
My Top 25 for the 2018 Irish Open
1. Rory McIlroy
2. Andy Sullivan
3. Rafa Cabrera Bello
4. Jon Rahm
5. Matthew Fitzpatrick
6. Alexander Bjork
7. Peter Uihlein
8. Shane Lowry
9. Kiradech Aphibarnrat
10. Jorge Campillo
11. Chris Wood
12. Paul Dunne
13. Jordan Smith
14. Graeme Mcdowell
15. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
16. Lee Westwood
17. Thorbjorn Olesen
18. Hao Tong Li
19. Thomas Pieters
20. Soren Kjeldsen
21. Shubhankar Sharma
22. Julian Suri
23. Matt Wallace
24. Dylan Frittelli
25. David Horsey
June 26, 2018
Open de France Fantasy Preview
The third Rolex Series event is set to take place this week in France which means a strong field will be assembled at Le Golf National.
It also helps that this week’s course will host the Ryder Cup in just a few months.
The course itself is a difficult, stadium-style course with water in play on 10 holes. Sounds a bit like TPC Sawgrass, no? We see a lot of similar styles contending at both.
If you look at adjusted course history over the last 10 years at Le Golf National you’ll see Francesco Molinari, Martin Kaymer, Thongchai Jaidee, Soren Kjeldsen, and Lee Westwood at the top. Not a list of names that will overpower a course.
We also see wild swings in course history, in similar fashion to TPC Sawgrass. Tommy Fleetwood was a great example last year as he missed four cuts at the course before flipping the script and winning the 2017 edition.
There are a few obvious differences between the two layouts though. Le Golf National features bentgrass greens (Sawgrass = Bermuda) and they are prepped to stimp at less than 11 feet (Sawgrass = 12+).
Let’s look at a few angles to see who might fit the course this week:
Top Performers in Europe (since 2015)
Sergio Garcia
Alex Noren
Andy Sullivan
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Lee Westwood
Martin Kaymer
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Ross Fisher
Tommy Fleetwood
Soren Kjeldsen
Top Performers on Hard Courses (since 2015)
Alex Noren
Andy Sullivan
Lee Westwood
Martin Kaymer
Andrew Johnston
Ross Fisher
Bradley Dredge
Sergio Garcia
Soren Kjeldsen
Alexander Bjork
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Alex Noren
Sergio Garcia
Martin Kaymer
Andy Sullivan
Ross Fisher
Tyrrell Hatton
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Jon Rahm
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Tommy Fleetwood
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Alex Noren
Andy Sullivan
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Martin Kaymer
Tommy Fleetwood
Ryan Fox
Soren Kjeldsen
Sergio Garcia
Scott Hend
Alexander Bjork
Top Performers against Strong Fields (since 2015)
Tyrrell Hatton
Tommy Fleetwood
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Alex Noren
Martin Kaymer
Ross Fisher
Jon Rahm
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Ian Poulter
Shane Lowry
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: Alex Noren, Martin Kaymer
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: Tommy Fleetwood, Andy Sullivan, Sergio Garcia, and Ross Fisher
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Rafa Cabrera Bello, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Soren Kjeldsen
My Top 25 for the 2018 Open de France
1. Ian Poulter
2. Andy Sullivan
3. Rafa Cabrera Bello
4. Alex Noren
5. Jon Rahm
6. Martin Kaymer
7. Tommy Fleetwood
8. Ross Fisher
9. Matthew Fitzpatrick
10. Soren Kjeldsen
11. Lee Westwood
12. Alexander Bjork
13. Justin Thomas
14. Jorge Campillo
15. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
16. Mikko Korhonen
17. Hao Tong Li
18. Tyrrell Hatton
19. Paul Dunne
20. Thomas Pieters
21. Shane Lowry
22. Thorbjorn Olesen
23. Chris Wood
24. Matt Wallace
25. Alexander Levy
June 20, 2018
BMW International Open Fantasy Preview
The European Tour returns to action this week and it’s finally a non-gimmick event which is seemingly becoming rarer and rarer these days.
We are heading to Golf Club Gut Laerchenhof in Pulheim, Germany. The course has been used recently in 2012, 2014, and 2016. It was also used at the Mercedes-Benz Championship in 2009 and before.
It’s a Jack Nicklaus Design with water in play on nine holes. If it’s anything like his Stateside courses then we should expect generous fairways but penal rough if you miss the wide targets.
One thing of note is Andy Sullivan tweeted this morning that he’s still waiting for his clubs to arrive. NOT IDEAL!
That’s too bad because he grades out as a great play this week. Let’s dive through the stats to see who else could pop this week in Germany.
Top Performers in Europe (since 2015)
Sergio Garcia
Andy Sullivan
Tommy Fleetwood
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Martin Kaymer
Julian Suri
Chris Wood
Thomas Pieters
Soren Kjeldsen
Thorbjorn Olesen
Top Performers on Par 72 Courses (since 2015)
Sergio Garcia
Tommy Fleetwood
Martin Kaymer
Alexander Bjork
Jorge Campillo
Seungsu Han
Andy Sullivan
Richard Sterne
Bradley Dredge
Jeunghun Wang
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Sergio Garcia
Andy Sullivan
Tommy Fleetwood
Martin Kaymer
Soren Kjeldsen
Richard Sterne
Alexander Bjork
Chris Wood
Mike Lorenzo-Vera
Mikko Korhonen
Top Performers in the Summer (since 2015)
Tommy Fleetwood
Andy Sullivan
Richard Bland
Adrian Otaegui
Alexander Bjork
Scott Hend
Soren Kjeldsen
Martin Kaymer
Julian Suri
Richard Sterne
Golfers that show up on all FOUR lists: Tommy Fleetwood, Andy Sullivan, Martin Kaymer
Golfers that show up on 3-of-4 lists: Sergio Garcia, Alexander Bjork, Richard Sterne, Soren Kjeldsen
Golfers that show up on 2-of-4 lists: Chris Wood, Julian Suri, Mike Lorenzo-Vera
My Top 25 for the 2018 BMW International Open
1. Tommy Fleetwood
2. Andy Sullivan
3. Sergio Garcia
4. Soren Kjeldsen
5. Martin Kaymer
6. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
7. Chris Wood
8. Alexander Bjork
9. Matthias Schwab
10. Mikko Korhonen
11. Lorenzo Gagli
12. Lee Slattery
13. Thongchai Jaidee
14. Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano
15. Matteo Manassero
16. Bradley Dredge
17. Jacques Kruyswijk
18. Adrian Otaegui
19. Jorge Campillo
20. David Lipsky
21. Oliver Fisher
22. Nick Cullen
23. Lucas Bjerregaard
24. Nacho Elvira
25. Justin Walters
June 6, 2018
Shot Clock Masters Fantasy Preview
Another week, another crazy event on the European Tour.
This week’s it’s the Shot Clock Masters which is exactly what it sounds like. Play too slow and you’ll be penalized. It’s crazy that an event event needs to be create to punish something that should be defined more clearly in the rules to begin with (slow play).
The strength of the field tells us all we need to know about how golfers feel about slow play. Instead of embracing this event that punishes slow play, most have just skipped the event. That includes Bernd Wiesberger who is nursing a wrist injury. He is usually the star of the show here.
On the bright side, the future of Austrian golf is in the field, Matthias Schwab.
The course is Diamond CC which has been used for years, previously the Lyoness Open.
It’s a demanding, par 72 that plays to 7,458 yards. The back nine is a beast at 3,875 yards by itself. The greens are a mix of bentgrass and poa.
Let’s sort through some stats to see who might fare well this week:
Top Performers in Europe (since 2015)
Soren Kjeldsen
Nicolas Colsaerts
David Horsey
Bradley Dredge
Nino Bertasio
Gregory Bourdy
Mikko Korhonen
Peter Hanson
Florian Fritsch
Anders Hansen
Top Performers on Par 72 Courses (since 2015)
Bradley Dredge
Soren Kjeldsen
Gregory Bourdy
Nicolas Colsaerts
David Horsey
Peter Hanson
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Trevor Fisher Jr.
Johan Carlsson
Ashun Wu
Top Performers on Bentgrass (since 2015)
Soren Kjeldsen
Bradley Dredge
Mikko Korhonen
Nicolas Colsaerts
David Horsey
Gregory Bourdy
Chris Hanson
Nino Bertasio
Felipe Aguilar
Miguel Angel Jimenez
Top Performers on Hard Courses (since 2015)
Bradley Dredge
Gregory Bourdy
Soren Kjeldsen
Nicolas Colsaerts
Nino Bertasio
Mikko Korhonen
Chris Hanson
David Horsey
Ashun Wu
Raphael Jacquelin
Top Performers on Long Courses (since 2015)
Bradley Dredge
Ashun Wu
Soren Kjeldsen
Andrea Pavan
Gregory Bourdy
David Horsey
Johan Carlsson
Nicolas Colsaerts
Richard McEvoy
Chris Hanson
Golfers that show up on all FIVE lists: David Horsey, Nicolas Colsaerts, Bradley Dredge, Gergory Bourdy, Soren Kjeldsen
Golfers that show up on 4-of-5 lists: NONE
Golfers that show up on 3-of-5 lists: Mikko Korhonen, Ashun Wu, Nino Bertasio
My Top 25 for the 2018 Shot Clock Masters
1. Mikko Korhonen
2. Miguel Angel Jimenez
3. Matthias Schwab
4. Ashun Wu
5. Gregory Bourdy
6. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
7. Tom Lewis
8. Lorenzo Gagli
9. Steve Webster
10. Matthew Baldwin
11. Felipe Aguilar
12. Lee Slattery
13. Richard McEvoy
14. Bradley Dredge
15. Andrea Pavan
16. David Horsey
17. Nino Bertasio
18. Chris Hanson
19. Adam Bland
20. Ashley Chesters
21. Jinho Choi
22. Pedro Oriol
23. Austin Connelly
24. Laurie Canter
25. Florian Fritsch
May 30, 2018
Italian Open Fantasy Preview
Another Rolex Series event means another strong field in Europe.
This week we head to Gardagolf Country Club which hasn’t hosted this event since 2003.
Similar to a lot of courses in Italy and Spain, it’s a tight, tree-lined layout that likely does it’s best to mute the advantage of length.
It’s a par 71 that grades out on the shorter side of the spectrum at 7,201 yards. Two of the three par 5s are under 550 yards so those should be tasty for everyone in the field.
However, this event does not look to punish golfers with each of the past four winners reaching 19-under or better. Despite the venue change, an early-week quote from Lucas Bjerregaard suggests the course could play on the easy side, again. “It’s in great condition, very soft. It should be good fun, I can see scores being fairly low so you’re probably going to have to out there and make a few birdies. I’m really looking forward to it.”
Let’s sort through some stats to see who might fare well this week:
Top Performers in Europe (since 2015)
Alex Noren
Tyrrell Hatton
Francesco Molinari
Ross Fisher
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Andy Sullivan
Tommy Fleetwood
Joost Luiten
Soren Kjeldsen
Martin Kaymer
Chris Wood
Top Performers against Strong Fields (since 2015)
Tyrrell Hatton
Francesco Molinari
Tommy Fleetwood
Ross Fisher
Alex Noren
Rafa Cabrera Bello
Martin Kaymer
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Ian Poulter
Joost Luiten
Andy Sullivan
Top Performers in the Spring (since 2015)
Alex Noren
Alexander Levy
Andy Sullivan
Ross Fisher
Chris Wood
Joost Luiten
Alexander Bjork
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Francesco Molinari
Hao Tong Li
Lee Westwood
Top Performers on Easy Courses (since 2015)
Tommy Fleetwood
Tyrrell Hatton
Ross Fisher
Jorge Campillo
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Paul Dunne
Martin Kaymer
Alexander Levy
Chris Paisley
Joost Luiten
David Horsey
Golfers that show up on all FOUR lists: Ross Fisher, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Joost Luiten
Golfers that show up on 3-of-4 lists: Tommy Fleetwood, Francesco Molinari, Tyrrell Hatton, Alex Noren, Martin Kaymer, Andy Sullivan
Golfers that show up on 2-of-4 lists: Alexander Levy, Chris Wood
My Top 25 for the 2018 Italian Open
1. Francesco Molinari
2. Alex Noren
3. Ian Poulter
4. Tommy Fleetwood
5. Andy Sullivan
6. Alexander Bjork
7. Rafa Cabrera Bello
8. Paul Dunne
9. Jorge Campillo
10. Matthew Fitzpatrick
11. Andrew Johnston
12. Pablo Larrazabal
13. Andrea Pavan
14. Nacho Elvira
15. Alexander Levy
16. Ross Fisher
17. Lee Westwood
18. Hideto Tanihara
19. Matt Wallace
20. Graeme Mcdowell
21. Adrian Otaegui
22. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
23. Lucas Bjerregaard
24. Dylan Frittelli
25. George Coetzee


