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Book cover for The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
There are no guarantees that flu predictions will do better the next time around. In fact, the flu and other infectious diseases have several properties that make them intrinsically very challenging to predict.
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Adam M. Grant
“Other studies show that people actually make more accurate and creative decisions when they’re choosing on behalf of others than themselves.”
Adam M. Grant, Give and Take: Why Helping Others Drives Our Success

Nate Silver
“There are no guarantees that flu predictions will do better the next time around. In fact, the flu and other infectious diseases have several properties that make them intrinsically very challenging to predict.”
Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Adam M. Grant
“As we’ve seen, the engineers with the lowest productivity are mostly givers. But when we look at the engineers with the highest productivity, the evidence shows that they’re givers too. The California engineers with the best objective scores for quantity and quality of results are those who consistently give more to their colleagues than they get. The worst performers and the best performers are givers; takers and matchers are more likely to land in the middle.”
Adam M. Grant, Give and Take: Why Helping Others Drives Our Success

Adam M. Grant
“But surprisingly, people were significantly more likely to benefit from weak ties. Almost 28 percent heard about the job from a weak tie. Strong ties provide bonds, but weak ties serve as bridges: they provide more efficient access to new information. Our strong ties tend to travel in the same social circles and know about the same opportunities as we do. Weak ties are more likely to open up access to a different network, facilitating the discovery of original leads.”
Adam M. Grant, Give and Take: Why Helping Others Drives Our Success

Adam M. Grant
“Whether you’re nice or not nice is separate from whether you’re self-focused or other-focused. They’re independent, not opposites.”
Adam M. Grant, Give and Take: Why Helping Others Drives Our Success

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