Probability


Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder
Fifty Challenging Problems in Probability with Solutions (Dover Books on Mathematics)
An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Volume 1
Skin in the Game: The Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
Introduction to Probability
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
A First Course in Probability
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
James D. Watson
Every time you understand something, religion becomes less likely. Only with the discovery of the double helix and the ensuing genetic revolution have we had grounds for thinking that the powers held traditionally to be the exclusive property of the gods might one day be ours. . . .
James D. Watson

Aristotle
A likely impossibility is always preferable to an unconvincing possibility. The story should never be made up of improbable incidents; there should be nothing of the sort in it.
Aristotle, Poetics

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