Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaste…
Shelve The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terri…
Shelve Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
In this "important and comprehensive" guide to statistical thinking ( New Yorker ), discover how data literacy is changing the world and gives you a better understanding of life’s biggest problems.
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Shelve The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data
With the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from …
Shelve The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
Once considered tedious, the field of statistics is rapidly evolving into a discipline Hal Varian, chief economist at Google, has actually called “sexy.” From batting averages and political polls to g…
Shelve Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread from the Data
Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a w…
Shelve Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.”
A bla…
Shelve The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The first book, The State, represents a radically new political system of society, one which is the most democratic system ever possible! This is a compl…
Shelve Socialism Is Dead! Long Live Socialism!: The Marx Code—Socialism with a Human Face: (A New World Order)
Billy Beane, general manager of MLB's Oakland A's and protagonist of Michael Lewis's Moneyball, had a problem: how to win in the Major Leagues with a budget that's smaller than that of nearly every ot…
An ex-Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball 's famed sabermetrics to place bets that would beat the Vegas odds on Major League Baseball games--with a 41 percent return in his first year. Trading Ba…
Shelve Trading Bases: A Story About Wall Street, Gambling, and Baseball (Not Necessarily in That Order )
After the economic meltdown of 2008, Warren Buffett famously warned, “beware of geeks bearing formulas.” But as James Weatherall demonstrates, not all geeks are created equal. While many of the mathem…
Shelve The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable
We live in the age of the algorithm. Increasingly, the decisions that affect our lives--where we go to school, whether we can get a job or a loan, how much we pay for health insurance--are being made …
Shelve Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality and Threatens Democracy
A captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes’s theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist’s Guide to the Galaxy .
At its simplest, Bay…
Shelve Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
From bestselling authors and journalistic titans Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, Abundance is a once-in-a-generation, paradigm-shifting call to rethink big, entrenched problems that seem mired in syste…
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called …
Shelve Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
In Scorecasting , University of Chicago behavioral economist Tobias Moskowitz teams up with veteran Sports Illustrated writer L. Jon Wertheim to overturn some of the most cherished truisms of sports, …
Shelve Scorecasting: The Hidden Influences Behind How Sports Are Played and Games Are Won
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement abo…
Shelve The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, and Emerged Triumphant from Two Centuries of Controversy
