Philip E. Tetlock



Average rating: 4.09 · 13,169 ratings · 1,040 reviews · 16 distinct worksSimilar authors
Superforecasting: The Art a...

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4.09 avg rating — 12,636 ratings — published 2015 — 37 editions
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Expert Political Judgment: ...

4.03 avg rating — 447 ratings — published 2005 — 13 editions
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Unmaking the West: "What-If...

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3.65 avg rating — 31 ratings — published 2006 — 2 editions
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Counterfactual Thought Expe...

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really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 13 ratings — published 1996 — 3 editions
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Behavior, Society, and Nucl...

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4.60 avg rating — 5 ratings — published 1990 — 2 editions
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Behavior, Society, and Nucl...

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really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 4 ratings — published 1990 — 2 editions
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Learning In U.s. And Soviet...

really liked it 4.00 avg rating — 3 ratings — published 1991
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Behavior, Society, and Inte...

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4.50 avg rating — 2 ratings — published 1993 — 2 editions
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What's Wrong with Expert Pr...

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3.67 avg rating — 18 ratings — published 2011
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Portfolio Structuring and t...

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3.40 avg rating — 5 ratings
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“How you think matters more than what you think”
Philip Tetlock

“For scientists, not knowing is exciting. It’s an opportunity to discover; the more that is unknown, the greater the opportunity.”
Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

“For superforecasters, beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded.”
Philip Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction



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