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How Long Will We Live?
How long will we live? Based on an article I just read, I'm guessing that it is probably longer than we think. Here's why.
The authors pointed out that statistics (and I suspect my intuition) are based on death rates, which only take into account the people who have...wait for it...already died. Those still alive are living longer than they used to, based on the trend of longer, healthier life that has persisted up until now.
My favorite simple estimating tool is the single life expectancy table from the IRS. It was recently revised upward. (The IRS makes it hard to link, but lots of people republish it.)
Then there are the life expectancy calculators. You can ask your favorite AI model, "What is the most accurate life expectancy calculator?"
Project Big Life is Canada-specific, but I like that it adjusts my life expectancy as I answer the questions. It rated me down three years because of my BMI (body mass index) to 89, which matches the single life expectancy table.
Living to 100 calculator asks detailed health questions and gave me two more years to 91.
John Hancock had a simple calculator and gave me 95 years. The Life Expectancy Project was even simpler, but also gave me the lowest estimate at 87 years.
So how long do you think you will live and why? I somehow forgot that I've been diagnosed with cancer since I last looked at this question, and I have no idea how that will impact my actual life expectancy. But all these estimates seem to expect me to live around another 20 years. I hope some of those are pretty good years!
The authors pointed out that statistics (and I suspect my intuition) are based on death rates, which only take into account the people who have...wait for it...already died. Those still alive are living longer than they used to, based on the trend of longer, healthier life that has persisted up until now.
My favorite simple estimating tool is the single life expectancy table from the IRS. It was recently revised upward. (The IRS makes it hard to link, but lots of people republish it.)
Then there are the life expectancy calculators. You can ask your favorite AI model, "What is the most accurate life expectancy calculator?"
Project Big Life is Canada-specific, but I like that it adjusts my life expectancy as I answer the questions. It rated me down three years because of my BMI (body mass index) to 89, which matches the single life expectancy table.
Living to 100 calculator asks detailed health questions and gave me two more years to 91.
John Hancock had a simple calculator and gave me 95 years. The Life Expectancy Project was even simpler, but also gave me the lowest estimate at 87 years.
So how long do you think you will live and why? I somehow forgot that I've been diagnosed with cancer since I last looked at this question, and I have no idea how that will impact my actual life expectancy. But all these estimates seem to expect me to live around another 20 years. I hope some of those are pretty good years!
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