Wayne L. Winston's Blog, page 18

NFL Ratings OCtober 20

Rank
Teams
Off
Def
Rating


1
New England Patriots
13.18
-0.92
14.09


2
Arizona Cardinals
9.29
-1.99
11.28


3
New York Jets
2.62
-6.47
9.09


4
Pittsburgh Steelers
0.46
-7.99
8.46


5
Cincinnati Bengals
5.39
-2.81
8.20


6
Philadelphia Eagles
1.71
-5.53
7.24


7
Green Bay Packers
1.93
-4.13
6.06


8
Atlanta Falcons
7.32
1.54
5.79


9
Denver Broncos
-1.34
-5.07
3.73


10
Carolina Panthers
0.73
-1.52
2.26


11
New York Giants
0.87
-0.89
1.76


12
Buffalo Bills
0.33
-1.41
1.74


13
Seattle Seahawks
-0.69
-2.29
1.60


14
St. Louis Rams
-2.36
-2.63
0.27


15
Washington Redskins
-1.33
-1.46
0.13


16
Baltimore Ravens
2.57
3.21
-0.64


17
Minnesota Vikings
-5.51
-4.70
-0.81


18
Dallas Cowboys
-2.33
-1.09
-1.25


19
San Diego Chargers
1.27
3.24
-1.97


20
Miami Dolphins
-2.18
0.04
-2.22


21
New Orleans Saints
-0.84
1.76
-2.61


22
Cleveland Browns
0.25
2.91
-2.67


23
Indianapolis Colts
-2.66
0.71
-3.36


24
Oakland Raiders
-2.59
1.00
-3.59


25
Kansas City Chiefs
-0.17
3.66
-3.83


26
San Francisco 49ers
-3.56
1.67
-5.22


27
Tennessee Titans
-3.03
4.01
-7.04


28
Detroit Lions
-2.15
5.02
-7.17


29
Houston Texans
-4.61
3.00
-7.61


30
Chicago Bears
-3.21
5.20
-8.41


31
Jacksonville Jaguars
-5.60
5.49
-11.09


32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-3.74
8.46
-12.20

NFL Ratings October 13

Pats have best offense, Broncos best defense.

 

Teams
Off
Def
Rating


New England   Patriots
12.92
-2.00
14.92


Arizona Cardinals
11.36
-0.96
12.32


Atlanta Falcons
8.48
0.76
7.72


New York Jets
-0.28
-6.92
6.64


Green Bay Packers
2.62
-3.93
6.55


Cincinnati Bengals
3.09
-3.08
6.17


Pittsburgh Steelers
0.26
-5.52
5.79


New York Giants
3.50
-0.72
4.22


Buffalo Bills
0.80
-3.42
4.22


Philadelphia Eagles
1.73
-2.44
4.17


Denver Broncos
-2.10
-5.94
3.83


Seattle Seahawks
0.35
-2.19
2.54


Carolina Panthers
-0.57
-1.06
0.49


St. Louis Rams
-2.48
-2.65
0.18


Baltimore Ravens
3.34
3.43
-0.09


Washington Redskins
-3.15
-3.00
-0.14


Tennessee Titans
0.35
0.52
-0.17


Minnesota Vikings
-2.94
-2.00
-0.94


Dallas Cowboys
-2.54
-1.26
-1.28


Cleveland Browns
0.18
2.08
-1.90


San Diego Chargers
0.88
4.01
-3.13


Indianapolis Colts
-2.08
1.06
-3.14


Oakland Raiders
-1.51
1.85
-3.36


Kansas City Chiefs
1.85
5.76
-3.91


New Orleans Saints
-2.32
3.20
-5.52


San Francisco 49ers
-4.44
1.39
-5.83


Detroit Lions
-4.11
2.31
-6.41


Miami Dolphins
-3.77
3.39
-7.16


Chicago Bears
-5.41
2.27
-7.68


Houston Texans
-5.94
2.76
-8.70


Jacksonville Jaguars
-5.24
4.16
-9.39


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-2.85
8.15
-11.00

NFL Ratings October 6

Here are ratings  thru week 4

Teams

Off

Def

Rating

New England Patriots

12.62

1.57

11.04

Atlanta Falcons

10.77

0.22

10.55

Arizona Cardinals

8.90

-0.29

9.19

Cincinnati Bengals

2.40

-4.99

7.39

New York Giants

2.22

-4.70

6.92

New York Jets

0.66

-5.05

5.70

Pittsburgh Steelers

0.13

-4.77

4.90

Green Bay Packers

2.01

-2.57

4.58

Denver Broncos

-0.33

-4.66

4.33

Philadelphia Eagles

-1.05

-4.23

3.18

Dallas Cowboys

2.07

-0.33

2.40

Buffalo Bills

1.69

-0.67

2.36

Seattle Seahawks

-1.35

-2.63

1.28

Baltimore Ravens

2.28

1.08

1.19

Carolina Panthers

0.32

-0.57

0.89

St. Louis Rams

-1.88

-1.91

0.02

Washington Redskins

-1.92

-1.28

-0.64

Tennessee Titans

3.74

4.45

-0.71

Minnesota Vikings

-3.00

-2.20

-0.80

Kansas City Chiefs

4.29

5.89

-1.60

San Diego Chargers

1.89

4.77

-2.88

Oakland Raiders

0.53

3.53

-3.00

New Orleans Saints

-2.15

0.98

-3.13

Cleveland Browns

-3.00

0.39

-3.39

Detroit Lions

-3.75

0.40

-4.14

Indianapolis Colts

-4.26

0.16

-4.41

Houston Texans

-5.21

0.83

-6.04

Miami Dolphins

-4.48

2.74

-7.22

San Francisco 49ers

-6.83

1.76

-8.59

Jacksonville Jaguars

-6.82

1.87

-8.69

Chicago Bears

-5.29

4.80

-10.10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-5.20

5.39

-10.59

Thoughts Hillary Clinton Servergate

I am appalled at how long this has dragged on. I believe the following steps would quickly resolve the issues.

Obtain a list of all emails sent  by State Department and Intelligence agencies to HRC.
Extract name of sender, date email sent, time email sent, and classified status of email.
Do the same extraction for  emails on HRC server and thumb drive.
This will make it easy to determine if classified status was changed on any email on HRC server or thumb drive.
Find which emails State or Intelligence sent out that are not on HRC server.
Either these emails were deleted from HRC server (that’s bad because she said no emails involving her work were deleted) or HRC can show where she read and responded to them (hopefully on secure server.)

If government cannot do this quickly we need a President from the Private Sector!!!

Thoughts on Ty Lawson

Hopefully Ty Lawson’s rehab will be successful. The last 2 seasons Ty has been amazing. His Adjusted + – Offense rating is +12 ppg, meaning that when he is  in Lawson causes Denver to score 12 ppg more than an average NBA team. This number marks Lawson as a Top 10 NBA offensive player. Paired with James Harden (another Top 10 offensive player) this trade should enable the Rockets to compete with the Spurs and  Warriors for the NBA West title. Ty is a weak defender (+5 defense rating.) This means that when Ty is in the game Denver (all other things being equal) gives up 5 more ppg than they would if an average defender replaced Ty. Of course, during the last 2 years Ty did not have a good rim protector. Now he has DH12, so his defensive liabilities might be mitigated. You can see below how Lawson impacted the Nuggets during the 2014-2015 season. For example, when Lawson was in with Chandler, Nuggets were an average NBA team while when Chandler was in and Lawson was out Nuggets played 13 ppg worse than average. The Mavs should have gone for Lawson instead of D Williams.

 

1
2
4
5
7
11
12
13



Chandler
Gallinari
Lawson
Nurkic
Hickson
Foye
Faried
Afflalo


Lawson and  other in
0 1940m
2 928m
0 2665m
7 689m
-7 776m
4 585m
3 1657m
2 1516m


Lawson out and other in
-13 532m
-10 497m
dnp
-14 414m
-15 635m
-20 501m
-11 429m
-18 234m


Lawson in and other out
0 726m
0 1737m
dnp
-2 1976m
3 1889m
-1 2080m
-3 1008m
-1 1150m


Lawson out and other out
-15 779m
-17 813m
-14 1311m
-15 897m
-14 676m
-11 810m
-16 882m
-14 1076m

Pachulia is pretty good.

The Mavs recovered quickly from DeAndre Jordan’s immature behavior by signing Pachulia. If he is healthy, Pachulia can impact the game. You can see below how much better the Bucks were with Pachulia on the court. For example, with Pachulia on court with Middle ton Bucks played 14 ppg better than average but with Middleton (an excellent player) in and Pachulia out the Bucks were a mediocre 3 ppg worse than average. I think Mavs overpaid for Mathews, because post Achilles surgery most players do not return to their pre surgery levels, but if D Williams is the Mavs point guard and remains healthy the Mavs can still have a solid season next year.

 

Bayless
Middleton
Carter-Will
Pachulia
Dudley
Antetokounm
Ilyasova
Mayo


Pachulia and  other in
8 624m
14 1352m
12 635m
7 1858m
8 557m
5 1317m
8 869m
1 587m


Pachulia out and other in
-7 1214m
-3 1258m
-3 314m
dnp
-2 1270m
-4 1425m
-9 592m
-5 1266m


Pachulia in and other out
6 1235m
-13 507m
4 1223m
dnp
6 1301m
13 541m
6 989m
10 1271m


Pachulia out and other out
-6 1425m
-10 1001m
-5 2342m
-6 1843m
-6 2426m
-6 2426m
-6 1076m
-6 2426m

Aldridge is worth the fuss but so was Millsap.

Everyone wants Lamarcus Aldridge. Below you can see why. In most situations Aldridge makes his team at least 10 points better (although Lopez was a capable sub for him.) But if you look below you can see Paul Millsap is fantastic and nobody talks about him. For example, Horford in and Paul out Hawks are 2 ppg worse than average. Millsap has been this good for years, and nobody mentions him. Glad to see him finally get the big payday he deserves.

 

Antic
Carroll
Korver
Teague
Millsap
Horford
Scott
Mack
Schroder
Horford


Millsap and  other in
9 570m
13 1992m
17 1719m
14 1930m
12 2500m
16 1454m
8 189m
1 176m
7 662m
16 1454m


Millsap out and other in
-1 467m
-12 447m
7 781m
1 401m
dnp
-2 1003m
-5 928m
-5 596m
-9 948m
-2 1003m


Millsap in and other out
13 1930m
11 508m
3 781m
8 570m
dnp
7 1046m
13 2311m
13 2324m
14 1838m
7 1046m


Millsap out and other out
-6 1122m
-2 1143m
-16 809m
-7 1189m
-5 1590m
-9 587m
-4 662m
-5 994m
1 642m
-9 587m
















Aldridge
Batum
Leonard
Lillard
McCollum
Afflalo
Lopez
Matthews


Aldridge and  other in
9 2649m
9 2016m
21 279m
9 2264m
12 511m
4 547m
5 1290m
13 1377m


Aldridge out and other in
dnp
-2 506m
-7 660m
2 781m
-3 601m
3 257m
4 424m
-3 581m


Aldridge in and other out
dnp
8 633m
7 2370m
8 384m
8 2138m
10 2102m
12 1359m
4 1272m


Aldridge out and other out
-3 1450m
-4 943m
-1 789m
-10 668m

 

 
-4 849m
-5 1193m
-7 1026m
-3 869m

Why Middleton is worth Mucho $$s

Look how Bucks played last year with Middleton in and out. For example Middleton and Bayless in Bucks play 5 ppg better than average. Bayless in and Middleton out 9 ppg worse than average. I do not know what he does but he impacts the game! These numbers are adjusted for strength of opponents faced.

 

Bayless
Plumlee
Middleton
Carter-Will
Pachulia
Dudley
Antetokounm
Ilyasova
Mayo
Knight


Middleton and  other in
5 950m
-2 105m
6 2610m
9 817m
14 1352m
7 1014m
5 1597m
8 1003m
9 690m
6 903m


Middleton out and other in
-9 888m
-17 101m
dnp
-3 132m
-13 507m
-6 813m
-7 1144m
-15 459m
-10 1163m
-10 785m


Middleton in and other out
6 1660m
6 2505m
dnp
5 1793m
-3 1258m
5 1596m
7 1013m
5 1608m
5 1920m
6 1707m


Middleton out and other out
-11 889m
-11 1674m
-19 529m
-10 1566m
-12 1309m
-11 1674m
-11 1674m
-10 1079m
-11 1674m
-12 511m

Cousins is good

Lots of debate on Cousins recently. I do not know his Myers-Brigg score but he has a huge impact on the game. Look at how Kings played with him On or off court. In most cases Boogie made at least a 10 point different. For example with Collison and Cousins on court Sac played 9 ppg better than average; With Collison on court and Boogie out 10 ppg worse than average. I cannot speak for off the court but on the court Boogie is a real difference maker and they are few and far between.

 

Mclemore
Stauskas
Thompson
Gay
McCallum
Landry
Williams
Collison
Evans
Cousins


Cousins and  other in
6 1488m
-6 346m
8 804m
4 1268m
-6 715m
-6 360m
-6 567m
9 831m
14 71m
2 1901m


Cousins out and other in
-9 1094m
-14 716m
-15 1092m
-10 1019m
-16 713m
-15 776m
-17 874m
-10 600m
-7 647m
dnp


Cousins in and other out
-12 413m
4 1555m
-2 1096m
-3 633m
6 1186m
4 1541m
5 1334m
-3 1070m
1 1830m
dnp


Cousins out and other out
-17 808m
-11 1186m
-9 810m
-15 883m
-10 1188m
-10 1126m
-9 1028m
-13 1302m
-15 1254m
-12 1902m

Projected NBA Final Standings April 11 NBA

Rank
Team
Wins
Losses


1
Atlanta Hawks
62
20


2
Cleveland Cavaliers
53
29


3
Chicago Bulls
49
33


4
Toronto Raptors
48
34


5
Washington Wizards
46
36


6
Milwaukee Bucks
40
42


7
Brooklyn Nets
39
43


8
Boston Celtics
39
43


9
Indiana Pacers
38
44


10
Miami Heat
37
45


11
Charlotte Hornets
34
48


12
Detroit Pistons
32
50


13
Orlando Magic
26
56


14
New York Knicks
15
67


15
Philadelphia 76ers
19
63








Rank
Team
W
L


1
Golden State Warriors
67
15


2
San Antonio Spurs
56
26


3
Houston Rockets
55
27


4
Los Angeles Clippers
55
27


5
Memphis Grizzlies
55
27


6
Portland Trail Blazers
53
29


7
Dallas Mavericks
49
33


8
Oklahoma City Thunder
45
37


9
New Orleans Pelicans
44
38


10
Phoenix Suns
39
43


11
Utah Jazz
38
44


12
Denver Nuggets
30
52


13
Sacramento Kings
28
54


14
Los Angeles Lakers
23
59


15
Minnesota Timberwolves
17
65