Wayne L. Winston's Blog, page 16
December 22, 2015
NBA Ratings December 22
Rank
Team
Off
Def
Rating
Off Rank
Def Rank
1
San Antonio Spurs
-0.06
-12.56
12.50
16
1
2
Golden State Warriors
14.64
3.49
11.15
1
23
3
Oklahoma City Thunder
5.94
0.07
5.87
2
17
4
Boston Celtics
3.39
-1.82
5.21
3
9
5
Indiana Pacers
2.63
-1.75
4.37
5
11
6
Toronto Raptors
-0.29
-4.40
4.11
21
4
7
Orlando Magic
-0.26
-3.09
2.83
20
5
8
Chicago Bulls
0.01
-2.62
2.63
13
8
9
Detroit Pistons
-0.16
-2.75
2.60
17
6
10
Los Angeles Clippers
2.07
-0.40
2.47
8
14
11
Charlotte Hornets
0.35
-1.79
2.14
11
10
12
Cleveland Cavaliers
1.97
0.01
1.96
9
15
13
Miami Heat
-3.87
-5.58
1.71
25
2
14
Atlanta Hawks
-0.21
-1.59
1.38
19
12
15
Utah Jazz
-4.19
-4.91
0.72
26
3
16
Portland Trail Blazers
1.62
1.49
0.13
10
20
17
Phoenix Suns
2.14
2.69
-0.55
6
22
18
Dallas Mavericks
-1.14
0.05
-1.19
22
16
19
Sacramento Kings
2.98
5.30
-2.32
4
27
20
Memphis Grizzlies
-5.02
-2.67
-2.35
27
7
21
New York Knicks
-3.82
-0.51
-3.31
24
13
22
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.05
3.49
-3.44
12
24
23
Denver Nuggets
-1.38
2.08
-3.46
23
21
24
Houston Rockets
2.13
5.60
-3.47
7
29
25
Los Angeles Lakers
0.00
4.51
-4.51
14
26
26
New Orleans Pelicans
-0.21
5.37
-5.58
18
28
27
Milwaukee Bucks
-5.37
0.49
-5.86
29
18
28
Washington Wizards
-0.01
6.09
-6.11
15
30
29
Brooklyn Nets
-5.26
1.22
-6.48
28
19
30
Philadelphia 76ers
-8.66
4.49
-13.15
30
25
NFL Ratings December 22
Teams
Off
Def
Rating
1
Arizona Cardinals
8.05
-2.64
10.69
2
Cincinnati Bengals
4.00
-5.17
9.18
3
New England Patriots
6.36
-2.29
8.65
4
Carolina Panthers
6.42
-1.96
8.38
5
Seattle Seahawks
3.84
-4.51
8.35
6
Kansas City Chiefs
3.80
-4.37
8.18
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
4.55
-2.71
7.26
8
Green Bay Packers
2.33
-3.16
5.50
9
Denver Broncos
-0.55
-4.94
4.39
10
Minnesota Vikings
-0.90
-3.22
2.32
11
New York Jets
-0.10
-2.04
1.95
12
Buffalo Bills
1.10
0.48
0.62
13
New York Giants
2.58
3.14
-0.55
14
Oakland Raiders
0.89
2.03
-1.14
15
St. Louis Rams
-4.57
-2.57
-2.00
16
Detroit Lions
-0.17
1.84
-2.01
17
Houston Texans
-3.66
-1.61
-2.06
18
Chicago Bears
-0.44
1.63
-2.07
19
Baltimore Ravens
0.00
2.23
-2.23
20
Washington Redskins
-1.49
0.78
-2.27
21
Atlanta Falcons
-2.43
0.47
-2.90
22
Philadelphia Eagles
-0.85
2.20
-3.05
23
San Diego Chargers
-2.28
1.11
-3.39
24
Jacksonville Jaguars
0.29
4.77
-4.48
25
Dallas Cowboys
-5.46
-0.75
-4.71
26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-2.25
3.02
-5.27
27
Indianapolis Colts
-2.71
2.98
-5.69
28
San Francisco 49ers
-6.29
-0.55
-5.74
29
Miami Dolphins
-3.15
2.72
-5.88
30
New Orleans Saints
1.04
7.06
-6.02
31
Cleveland Browns
-3.08
3.66
-6.74
32
Tennessee Titans
-4.86
2.39
-7.24
December 19, 2015
NBA Ratings Dec 19
Team
Off
Def
Rating
Off Rank
Def Rank
San Antonio Spurs
-0.06
-11.94
11.88
16
1
Golden State Warriors
14.60
3.66
10.94
1
24
Oklahoma City Thunder
5.87
0.56
5.31
2
17
Charlotte Hornets
2.06
-2.91
4.97
9
7
Chicago Bulls
0.01
-4.75
4.76
13
3
Indiana Pacers
2.73
-1.85
4.59
5
10
Toronto Raptors
-0.19
-4.41
4.23
18
4
Boston Celtics
2.55
-1.41
3.97
6
11
Orlando Magic
-0.28
-3.79
3.51
20
6
Los Angeles Clippers
2.74
-0.33
3.07
4
14
Detroit Pistons
-0.16
-2.42
2.26
17
8
Cleveland Cavaliers
2.12
0.01
2.12
8
15
Miami Heat
-4.28
-5.79
1.51
25
2
Portland Trail Blazers
1.65
0.78
0.87
11
19
Phoenix Suns
2.97
2.29
0.67
3
22
Atlanta Hawks
-0.74
-1.35
0.61
21
12
Utah Jazz
-3.89
-4.41
0.51
24
5
Dallas Mavericks
-1.36
0.06
-1.42
22
16
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.97
3.59
-2.61
12
23
Sacramento Kings
2.53
5.64
-3.11
7
28
Memphis Grizzlies
-5.46
-2.33
-3.13
29
9
Denver Nuggets
-2.47
1.34
-3.81
23
20
New York Knicks
-4.74
-0.40
-4.33
26
13
Los Angeles Lakers
0.00
4.59
-4.60
14
25
Houston Rockets
1.72
6.79
-5.06
10
30
New Orleans Pelicans
-0.22
5.53
-5.75
19
27
Milwaukee Bucks
-5.41
0.68
-6.10
28
18
Washington Wizards
-0.01
6.60
-6.61
15
29
Brooklyn Nets
-5.34
1.38
-6.72
27
21
Philadelphia 76ers
-7.93
4.60
-12.53
30
26
Do College Basketball Teams Improve during the Season?
As I make the rounds of holiday parties, a common point of discussion in Bloomington In is whether Tom Crean’s teams improve or get worse as the season progresses. To answer this question I used the great Sagarin ratings (see Sagarin.com). to determine how a team’s performance level improved or declined during the season. For each game I determined how many points worse or better than their season average the team performed. For example if IU’s season rating was 90 and IU beat a team with rating of 85 on a neutral court by 10 IU receives a “residual” of +5. If IU lost the game by 1 they receive a residual of -6. I then averaged these residuals over all games since the 2008-2009 season (Crean’s first year) with the season broken into three parts
First 10 games
Next 10 games
Rest of season.
The results for IU, Wisconsin, Duke Kentucky, Michigan State, and IU using data from 2008-2015.are shown below. As IU fans believe, IU performs worse at the end of the season. Perhaps this or due to over practicing or the fact that IU beats up on our preseason powder puff schedule. Several other interesting points stand out: Note: my original post assumed Coach Cal coached UK in 08-09. This post corrects this error.
Duke shows the largest decline in performance during the course of the season.
Most fans think Calipari does a great job of improving his mainly all freshman teams during the season. Not true!
Everyone thinks Izzo brings his teams along to peak for the tournament and it looks like Izzo (and Bo Ryan) do the best job of getting teams ready for the post -season.
First10
Next10
End
Duke
2.9
0.2
-2.2
Wisconsin
0.5
-0.8
0.2
UK
1.2
0.3
-1.4
MSU
-0.1
-0.4
0.2
IU
2
-0.2
-1.3
December 15, 2015
NFL Ratings Dec 15
Rank
Teams
Off
Def
Rating
1
Arizona Cardinals
7.80
-2.11
9.92
2
Cincinnati Bengals
4.23
-5.16
9.39
3
New England Patriots
6.89
-2.46
9.35
4
Carolina Panthers
6.15
-2.76
8.91
5
Seattle Seahawks
4.20
-4.20
8.40
6
Kansas City Chiefs
3.61
-3.72
7.33
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
3.92
-3.33
7.25
8
Green Bay Packers
2.20
-2.71
4.91
9
Denver Broncos
-1.26
-5.61
4.35
10
New York Jets
0.20
-2.19
2.39
11
Buffalo Bills
1.17
-0.50
1.68
12
Minnesota Vikings
-1.87
-2.94
1.07
13
New York Giants
2.21
2.77
-0.56
14
Oakland Raiders
1.23
2.15
-0.92
15
Chicago Bears
-0.47
1.18
-1.65
16
Baltimore Ravens
0.00
1.97
-1.97
17
Philadelphia Eagles
-0.33
1.78
-2.10
18
Houston Texans
-3.19
-1.04
-2.16
19
St. Louis Rams
-5.22
-2.76
-2.47
20
Washington Redskins
-1.96
0.76
-2.72
21
Detroit Lions
-0.62
2.25
-2.87
22
Atlanta Falcons
-2.20
1.22
-3.42
23
Jacksonville Jaguars
1.09
4.88
-3.79
24
San Diego Chargers
-2.62
1.76
-4.38
25
Dallas Cowboys
-5.24
-0.59
-4.65
26
Miami Dolphins
-2.52
2.40
-4.92
27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-2.65
2.47
-5.12
28
Indianapolis Colts
-1.75
3.41
-5.16
29
New Orleans Saints
1.31
6.90
-5.60
30
San Francisco 49ers
-6.48
-0.23
-6.25
31
Cleveland Browns
-2.91
4.12
-7.03
32
Tennessee Titans
-4.91
2.29
-7.20
December 14, 2015
NBA Rankings Dec 14
Spurs (on cruise control) pass Warriors
Rank
Team
Off
Def
Rating
Off Rank
Def Rank
1
San Antonio Spurs
-1.67
-11.87
10.20
20
1
2
Golden State Warriors
13.27
3.38
9.89
1
25
3
Oklahoma City Thunder
7.81
1.17
6.64
2
18
4
Chicago Bulls
0.01
-6.17
6.18
13
3
5
Charlotte Hornets
2.71
-2.80
5.51
8
8
6
Boston Celtics
3.18
-1.72
4.90
7
9
7
Toronto Raptors
-0.16
-4.86
4.70
16
5
8
Indiana Pacers
3.26
-0.94
4.20
6
12
9
Cleveland Cavaliers
3.31
0.01
3.30
5
15
10
Los Angeles Clippers
2.54
-0.72
3.26
9
13
11
Miami Heat
-4.77
-6.93
2.16
27
2
12
Phoenix Suns
4.24
2.58
1.67
4
22
13
Utah Jazz
-3.63
-4.97
1.35
24
4
14
Detroit Pistons
-3.15
-4.33
1.18
23
6
15
Portland Trail Blazers
2.23
1.23
1.00
10
19
16
Orlando Magic
-1.98
-2.83
0.86
21
7
17
Atlanta Hawks
-1.15
-1.48
0.33
18
11
18
Dallas Mavericks
-1.63
0.06
-1.69
19
16
19
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.92
3.30
-2.38
12
24
20
Sacramento Kings
4.25
7.98
-3.72
3
30
21
Memphis Grizzlies
-5.53
-1.53
-4.00
29
10
22
New York Knicks
-4.66
-0.58
-4.08
25
14
23
Denver Nuggets
-2.82
1.31
-4.13
22
20
24
Houston Rockets
2.12
7.36
-5.23
11
29
25
Milwaukee Bucks
-4.74
0.55
-5.30
26
17
26
Los Angeles Lakers
0.00
5.31
-5.31
14
26
27
New Orleans Pelicans
-0.18
6.17
-6.34
17
27
28
Washington Wizards
-0.01
6.42
-6.43
15
28
29
Brooklyn Nets
-5.01
1.70
-6.71
28
21
30
Philadelphia 76ers
-8.76
3.23
-11.99
30
23
December 8, 2015
NFL Ratings Dec 8
Rank
Teams
Off
Def
Rating
1
Cincinnati Bengals
4.27
-6.55
10.82
2
Arizona Cardinals
8.31
-2.45
10.76
3
New England Patriots
7.04
-1.52
8.56
4
Kansas City Chiefs
5.05
-3.17
8.22
5
Carolina Panthers
5.60
-1.70
7.30
6
Seattle Seahawks
3.69
-3.31
7.00
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
2.79
-3.42
6.21
8
Denver Broncos
-0.61
-5.98
5.37
9
Green Bay Packers
1.76
-2.57
4.33
10
Buffalo Bills
1.46
-0.68
2.14
11
New York Jets
-0.18
-1.80
1.62
12
Minnesota Vikings
-2.42
-2.97
0.55
13
New York Giants
1.65
2.57
-0.92
14
Houston Texans
-2.35
-1.35
-1.00
15
Chicago Bears
-0.61
0.61
-1.23
16
Baltimore Ravens
0.00
1.36
-1.35
17
Atlanta Falcons
-1.03
0.45
-1.48
18
Oakland Raiders
1.27
2.94
-1.67
19
Philadelphia Eagles
-0.54
1.94
-2.48
20
St. Louis Rams
-5.34
-2.56
-2.77
21
Detroit Lions
-0.74
2.07
-2.80
22
Indianapolis Colts
-1.44
1.59
-3.03
23
Washington Redskins
-2.55
0.87
-3.43
24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1.86
2.40
-4.26
25
Dallas Cowboys
-5.23
-0.87
-4.36
26
Miami Dolphins
-2.75
1.98
-4.73
27
San Diego Chargers
-1.89
3.23
-5.12
28
San Francisco 49ers
-6.06
-0.51
-5.55
29
Jacksonville Jaguars
-0.72
5.22
-5.94
30
New Orleans Saints
1.36
7.60
-6.24
31
Tennessee Titans
-4.74
1.97
-6.72
32
Cleveland Browns
-3.19
4.63
-7.81
December 7, 2015
NBA ratings December 7
Rank
Team
Off
Def
Rating
Off Rank
Def Rank
1
Golden State Warriors
12.91
1.27
11.64
1
17
2
San Antonio Spurs
-3.42
-10.91
7.50
24
1
3
Indiana Pacers
3.74
-2.08
5.82
5
9
4
Chicago Bulls
0.02
-5.64
5.66
14
3
5
Miami Heat
-3.77
-8.64
4.87
26
2
6
Boston Celtics
2.57
-1.73
4.30
8
10
7
Oklahoma City Thunder
6.91
2.95
3.96
2
22
8
Toronto Raptors
-0.10
-4.04
3.94
17
6
9
Orlando Magic
0.70
-2.78
3.48
12
8
10
Charlotte Hornets
2.50
-0.52
3.02
9
15
11
Cleveland Cavaliers
2.90
0.01
2.89
6
16
12
Los Angeles Clippers
1.77
-0.90
2.67
10
13
13
Utah Jazz
-3.36
-4.81
1.45
23
4
14
Phoenix Suns
4.08
3.10
0.99
4
25
15
Detroit Pistons
-3.24
-4.05
0.81
21
5
16
Atlanta Hawks
-0.57
-1.23
0.66
19
12
17
Portland Trail Blazers
2.76
2.46
0.30
7
21
18
Dallas Mavericks
-1.30
-0.65
-0.65
20
14
19
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.33
1.36
-1.03
13
19
20
Memphis Grizzlies
-6.23
-2.86
-3.37
28
7
21
New York Knicks
-5.23
-1.37
-3.85
27
11
22
Los Angeles Lakers
0.00
4.16
-4.16
15
26
23
Washington Wizards
-0.02
4.31
-4.33
16
27
24
Sacramento Kings
4.54
9.09
-4.54
3
30
25
Denver Nuggets
-3.29
1.31
-4.59
22
18
26
New Orleans Pelicans
-0.15
6.42
-6.58
18
28
27
Milwaukee Bucks
-3.74
3.05
-6.79
25
24
28
Houston Rockets
1.45
8.28
-6.83
11
29
29
Brooklyn Nets
-6.26
1.51
-7.77
29
20
30
Philadelphia 76ers
-6.50
2.97
-9.47
30
23
December 1, 2015
Dec 1 NFL Ratings
My apologies. Last ratings were wrong because it looks like Pro football reference changed the way the data was formatted. Here are correct ratings.
Rank
Teams
Off
Def
Rating
1
New England Patriots
8.82
-3.33
12.16
2
Cincinnati Bengals
3.94
-5.49
9.43
3
Carolina Panthers
6.22
-2.80
9.02
4
Kansas City Chiefs
5.56
-3.44
8.99
5
Denver Broncos
0.04
-5.89
5.93
6
Green Bay Packers
1.97
-3.12
5.09
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.32
-2.57
3.89
8
Seattle Seahawks
2.43
-1.44
3.87
9
Buffalo Bills
2.00
-1.62
3.62
10
Minnesota Vikings
-1.51
-4.91
3.39
11
New York Jets
0.71
-2.13
2.84
12
Arizona Cardinals
0.01
-0.98
0.99
13
Houston Texans
-2.11
-2.23
0.11
14
Indianapolis Colts
0.01
0.02
-0.01
15
New York Giants
2.57
2.87
-0.30
16
Chicago Bears
-0.18
0.24
-0.42
17
Atlanta Falcons
0.00
0.60
-0.60
18
Oakland Raiders
1.89
2.64
-0.76
19
Washington Redskins
-2.03
0.20
-2.23
20
Baltimore Ravens
0.50
2.96
-2.46
21
St. Louis Rams
-4.72
-1.87
-2.85
22
Detroit Lions
-0.52
2.62
-3.15
23
Philadelphia Eagles
-1.72
2.21
-3.93
24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-1.09
2.95
-4.05
25
Miami Dolphins
-1.11
3.00
-4.11
26
San Diego Chargers
-0.44
4.08
-4.52
27
Jacksonville Jaguars
-1.44
3.50
-4.94
28
Dallas Cowboys
-5.70
-0.74
-4.95
29
Tennessee Titans
-5.96
0.06
-6.02
30
New Orleans Saints
0.91
8.27
-7.36
31
Cleveland Browns
-2.57
5.06
-7.63
32
San Francisco 49ers
-7.78
1.26
-9.04
Hw
November 30, 2015
NBA Ratings November 30
Rank
Team
Off
Def
Rating
Off Rank
Def Rank
1
Golden State Warriors
13.81
0.46
13.35
1
16
2
San Antonio Spurs
-3.86
-10.95
7.09
23
1
3
Indiana Pacers
2.75
-3.61
6.37
6
7
4
Oklahoma City Thunder
9.38
3.46
5.92
2
24
5
Chicago Bulls
0.02
-4.87
4.89
15
6
6
Cleveland Cavaliers
4.43
0.01
4.43
4
15
7
Toronto Raptors
-0.64
-4.97
4.33
19
5
8
Phoenix Suns
6.32
2.08
4.24
3
21
9
Miami Heat
-4.32
-7.87
3.55
24
2
10
Los Angeles Clippers
2.74
-0.57
3.31
7
13
11
Orlando Magic
0.40
-2.47
2.86
14
9
12
Boston Celtics
1.41
-1.32
2.73
10
11
13
Charlotte Hornets
1.69
-0.26
1.95
9
14
14
Portland Trail Blazers
2.42
0.82
1.60
8
18
15
Utah Jazz
-4.67
-5.81
1.13
25
4
16
Detroit Pistons
-5.64
-6.20
0.56
27
3
17
Dallas Mavericks
-1.39
-1.71
0.32
20
10
18
Atlanta Hawks
0.71
1.37
-0.66
12
19
19
Minnesota Timberwolves
0.99
2.13
-1.14
11
22
20
Memphis Grizzlies
-5.94
-2.81
-3.13
28
8
21
Los Angeles Lakers
0.00
4.29
-4.30
16
25
22
Sacramento Kings
4.39
8.76
-4.37
5
29
23
New York Knicks
-5.47
-0.86
-4.62
26
12
24
Denver Nuggets
-3.51
1.40
-4.91
22
20
25
Washington Wizards
-0.02
5.13
-5.14
17
26
26
New Orleans Pelicans
-0.25
6.22
-6.47
18
27
27
Brooklyn Nets
-6.20
0.51
-6.71
29
17
28
Houston Rockets
0.53
8.90
-8.37
13
30
29
Milwaukee Bucks
-2.78
6.34
-9.12
21
28
30
Philadelphia 76ers
-7.31
2.40
-9.71
30
23
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