C.C. Francis's Blog, page 18

July 14, 2020

July 13, 2020

Looks like you’re using CFR. IFR is below 2%. That is still 10–20x higher than seasonal flu.

Looks like you’re using Case Fatality Rate (“CFR”). Overall Infection Fatality Rate (“IFR”) is estimated to be below 2%. That is still 10–20x higher than seasonal flu.

It also does not take into account severe and potentially permanent cardiovascular, pulmonary, and neurological damage.

We need to be accurate as to the science right now, so as not to fuel accusations of exaggeration.

Source — Nature (0.6%-1%); CDC (0.65%); Health Affairs (1.3%).

Also, be careful with anti-Americanism. The USA has a lot of good people, and this is nothing short of a tragedy. We are more than President Trump.

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Published on July 13, 2020 13:24

July 12, 2020

“Happiness can be found even in the darkest of times, when one only remembers to turn on the light.”

— Albus Percival Wulfric Brian Dumbledore, OM (First Class), Grand Sorc., D. Wiz., X.J. (sorc.), S. of Mag.Q

Continue reading on Halcyon »

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Published on July 12, 2020 11:46

Brilliant article. Thank you.

Brilliant article. Thank you.

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Published on July 12, 2020 10:52

But then Cancel Culture wins, and we have no more open dialogue. No?

But then Cancel Culture wins, and we have no more open dialogue. No?

An alternative strategy might be to phrase responses as questions.

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Published on July 12, 2020 07:46

The best writing advice I’ve found has been about time management.

The best writing advice I’ve found has been about time management. Structuring with a calendar, using a timer, etc. I am easily distracted!

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Published on July 12, 2020 07:34

Going to buy some dark chocolate today!

Going to buy some dark chocolate today!

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Published on July 12, 2020 07:31

July 11, 2020

Reddit could have handled this better.

Reddit could have handled this better.

The underlying “incident” ostensibly involving threats against police/officials from a few people should have resulted in actions against those people — not a community of several hundred thousand. Reddit’s actions made it so registered users had to click through a “Quarantine” screen to even see the “Trump Supporter” subreddit. Others could not access the sub at all.

This decision stoked the narrative of isolation and persecution and danger — fanning the flames of extremism. It also made it so a lot of other people didn’t know what Trump supporters were saying. Note that Reddit CEO Steve Huffman has openly admitted to abusing admin control in order to alter user’s comments on the Trump subreddit.

Ideas are not defeated by “quarantine” or suppression or censorship. They’re defeated by reasoned debate — out in the open. I wish the USA taught IRAC & the Socratic Method in undergrad.

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Published on July 11, 2020 16:40

Beautiful story. So sorry for your loss.

Beautiful story. So sorry for your loss.

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Published on July 11, 2020 14:54