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“For conservatives too the explanation was obvious: Reagan had called the Soviets’ bluff by upping the arms-race ante and now Gorbachev was folding. It”

Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock
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