Satyajeet asked this question about The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't:
I was about to pick this book, but I became a little skeptical after what happened with Nate and 538 in 2016. I could be wrong because I don't have much information on what (and why it) happened, so I am not actually judging him. Should I read this? Is this book reliable?
Kate Well, right now Nate Silver predicted that the Pennsylvania federal election would be neck and neck. Right now it is 50% vs 50% so I would say that he…moreWell, right now Nate Silver predicted that the Pennsylvania federal election would be neck and neck. Right now it is 50% vs 50% so I would say that he called that one right.(less)
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