Nathan Anderson answers “I was about to pick this book, but I...”

Satyajeet asked this question about The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't:

I was about to pick this book, but I became a little skeptical after what happened with Nate and 538 in 2016. I could be wrong because I don't have much information on what (and why it) happened, so I am not actually judging him. Should I read this? Is this book reliable?

Nathan Anderson Both of the answers below are correct, but I would also add that while Nate Silver does take a lot of flak for predicting that Hillary Clinton would w…moreBoth of the answers below are correct, but I would also add that while Nate Silver does take a lot of flak for predicting that Hillary Clinton would win in 2016, he gave Trump a better chance than most other forecasters, and he was the first to admit he was wrong. (less)

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The Signal and the Noise

by Nate Silver

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