Satyajeet asked this question about The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't:
I was about to pick this book, but I became a little skeptical after what happened with Nate and 538 in 2016. I could be wrong because I don't have much information on what (and why it) happened, so I am not actually judging him. Should I read this? Is this book reliable?
Len Knighton Is this book reliable? Are you looking for predictions that have been fulfilled? Don't look here, although he did predict that Donald Trump would run …moreIs this book reliable? Are you looking for predictions that have been fulfilled? Don't look here, although he did predict that Donald Trump would run for President (in 2012).
Silver looks at the science of predicting. It isn't foolproof. This is not a crystal ball. (less)
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