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UPDATE December 2016: Nate Silver's predictions for the 2016 U.S. election were horribly inaccurate (http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11...), confirming my contention below that his blah blah about predicting--even in his narrow field of expertise--is hot air. Downgrading from 2* to 1*. Original review from 2012 below.
The thing that bothered me was the lack of depth about how to make real world accurate predictions about substantive matters. On the question of flu pandemics, for example, there ...more
The thing that bothered me was the lack of depth about how to make real world accurate predictions about substantive matters. On the question of flu pandemics, for example, there ...more

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