“
There is no way that we can predict the weather six months ahead beyond giving the seasonal average
”
― Black Holes and Baby Universes and Other Essays
― Black Holes and Baby Universes and Other Essays
“
When we advance more confident claims and they fail to come to fruition, this constitutes much more powerful evidence against our hypothesis. We can't really blame anyone for losing faith when this occurs
...more
”
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
― The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
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Complimentary to face-to-face group that focuses on deepening our understanding of future trends…more
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