Forecasting


Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Forecasting: principles and practice
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto)
Life Expectancy
The Art Of The Long View:  Planning For The Future In An Uncertain World
Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder
The Wisdom of Crowds
Denialism: How Irrational Thinking Hinders Scientific Progress, Harms the Planet, and Threatens Our Lives
The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't
How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of "Intangibles" in Business
Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century
Need for cognition" is the psychological term for the tendency to engage in and enjoy hard mental slogs. [...] superforecasters score high in need-for-cognition tests. ...more
Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Ransom Riggs
Weatherman says," Kev scoffed. "I wouldn't trust that silly bugger to know it's raining now. ...more
Ransom Riggs, Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children

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Futures Studies and Foresight Books that further thinking and research into our alternative possible or preferable futures, ab…more
11 members, last active 14 years ago
Complimentary to face-to-face group that focuses on deepening our understanding of future trends…more
1 member, last active 9 years ago
Space Elevator – Help LiftPort build the Lunar Space Elevator Infrastructure To build “the biggest thing, ever!” – LiftPort’s Space Elevator – requires an enormous breadth a…more
31 members, last active 11 years ago