Mr. Quinn would be nervous. Would you be?

Towards the bottom of Mr. Quinn's lengthy thread on spreadsheets and budgets I mentioned that I expect to spend a bit under 1% of my portfolio this year. Dick said that he would feel nervous in that situation. I am not currently feeling nervous, but since that percentage will increase over time, maybe I should be. I thought I would ask my fellow contributors what they thought.

Some background: I agree with Dick in seeing my income as just Social Security, with COLA, and a company pension, with no COLA. In fact, the pension was frozen when I reached 30 years service in 2000, and has lost value ever since. I expect my SS to overtake it in a couple of years. It's true, that at almost 78 I have been taking RMDs for several years, and the IRS considers that to be income, but since, after QCDs, I simply move the funds from my IRA to my brokerage account, I don't. Equally, the interest and dividends in my brokerage account are on automatic reinvestment.

As I expect my medical costs to increase above the rate of inflation, and the monthly fees for my CCRC will probably do the same, I will need more than 1% from my portfolio in future years. I should mention that the portfolio exists solely to make up for the lack of a COLA on my pension. Leaving a legacy would be nice, but as I have no biological children it is not a priority. 

If I take the current value of my portfolio (which has increased since the last time I looked), subtract a guesstimate $50,000 for what will likely be my last car and divide by 22 (years to 100), the result is 11.5% lower than my annual SS plus pension, before taxes. In other words, I believe I could nearly double my gross income without a risk of running out of money.

No doubt Dick would still feel nervous, but should I?

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