Judgment Under Uncertainty Quotes

“Chance is commonly viewed as a self-correcting process in which a deviation in one direction induces a deviation in the opposite direction to restore the equilibrium. In fact, deviations are not "corrected" as a chance process unfolds, they are merely diluted.”
― Amos Tversky, Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

“Searching for wisdom in historic events requires an act of faith—a belief in the existence of recurrent patterns waiting to be discovered.”
― Daniel Kahneman, Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases