David’s Reviews > The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't > Status Update
David
is on page 444 of 544
"Where our enemies will strike us is predictable: it's where we least expect them to."
— Jan 01, 2013 09:14PM
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David’s Previous Updates
David
is on page 411 of 544
"In politics... truth enjoy's no privileged status...."
— Jan 01, 2013 05:10PM
David
is on page 409 of 544
Don't infer veracity from the confidence of a forecast.
— Jan 01, 2013 04:59PM
David
is on page 356 of 544
The efficient market hypothesis seems simple-minded and naive. When you're not trading with your own money your motives and rewards are going to be different than what the hypothesis presumes.
— Dec 29, 2012 11:43AM
David
is on page 126 of 544
In 1940 the odds of being struck by lightning were 1 in 400,000. Today they're 1 in 11,000,000.
— Dec 18, 2012 11:08PM
David
is on page 110 of 544
The National Hurricane Center did a very *good* job forecasting Katrina. The faults lay elsewhere.
— Dec 18, 2012 10:04PM
