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Nate Silver

“If you correctly detect an opponent’s bluff, but he gets a lucky card and wins the hand anyway, you should be pleased rather than angry, because you played the hand as well as you could. The irony is that by being less focused on your results, you may achieve better ones.”

Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction by Nate Silver
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