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“As Moltke observed, “It shakes the trust of subordinates and gives the units a feeling of uncertainty if things happen entirely differently from what orders from higher headquarters had presumed.”9”

Philip E. Tetlock, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock
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