Nonetheless, I managed to recruit 284 serious professionals, card-carrying experts whose livelihoods involved analyzing political and economic trends and events. Some were academics working in universities or think tanks. Others worked for branches of the US government, or for international organizations such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, or for the media. A small number were quite famous, others well known in their professional communities, some early in their careers and at that point quite obscure. But I still had to guarantee anonymity because even experts who were
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