Ian Pitchford

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Taleb has taken this argument further and called for critical systems—like international banking and nuclear weapons—to be made “antifragile,” meaning they are not only resilient to shocks but strengthened by them. In principle, I agree. But a point often overlooked is that preparing for surprises—whether we are shooting for resilience or antifragility—is costly.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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