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“Considering that Keynes was investing during some of the worst years in history, his returns are astounding,” noted John F. Wasik, the author of a book on Keynes’s investments.5 Keynes was breathtakingly intelligent and energetic, which certainly contributed to his success, but more than that he was an insatiably curious man who loved to collect new ideas—a habit that sometimes required him to change his mind.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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