There are good pundits and bad pundits for my purposes, of course. The bad ones issue their predictions with no supporting arguments, expecting their readers to treat their pronouncements like the word from Mt. Sinai; or they back their forecasts with anecdotes rather than useful facts. The good ones argue the case for their forecasts; in fact, I see them as functioning something like lawyers in an adversarial judicial system: they put forth the best argument they can for why X is going to happen, and I consider everybody’s arguments, dig further into background as necessary, and come up with
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