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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, by Philip E. Tetlock

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The difference between heavyweights and amateurs, she said, is that the heavyweights know the difference between a 60⁄40 bet and a 40⁄60 bet.

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

by Philip E. Tetlock

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