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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
by Nate Silver
14%
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Even the most talented draft picks may have to bide their time in Billings or Bakersfield or Binghamton
27%
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you don’t light a patch of the Montana brush on fire when you buy a pint of Häagen-Dazs.