Cliodynamics


Secular Cycles
Ultrasociety: How 10,000 Years of War Made Humans the Greatest Cooperators on Earth
War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires
Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall (Princeton Studies in Complexity)
End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
Ages of Discord
Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review
The Debated Mind: Evolutionary Psychology versus Ethnography
The Decline of the West
Figuring Out The Past: The 3,495 Vital Statistics that Explain World History
Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World
The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
Peter Turchin
Group minds are a result of collective discussion and working out of a consensus, which can be listened to (unlike an unreadable mind). Arriving at a common program of action often leaves physical traces, such as meeting minutes and programmatic documents. Of course, some groups are quite secretive about their inner decision-making processes. Here’s where whistleblowers like Julian Assange and Edward Snowden become essential for a sociologist of power.
Peter Turchin, End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration

Peter Turchin
...science is not only about building carefully-constructed theories that explain general phenomena. It is also, and primarily, about distinguishing good explanations from bad ones. This is where traditional history has been deficient. Historians have created, and continue to create, new explanations, but they are not in the business of testing them with data.
Peter Turchin, Ultrasociety: How 10,000 Years of War Made Humans the Greatest Cooperators on Earth

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