The ACA’s four cliffs

…(1) the 50th employee (firms with 49 employees that don’t offer medical insurance will be hit with a $40,000 penalty if they hire just one more worker); (2) the 200 percent threshold (one households cross 200 percent of the poverty line, deductibles might sharply increase); (3) the 400 percent threshold (the dropoff is even bigger once households cross 400 percent of the poverty line); and (4) the early retirement incentive (ACA creates an incentive for many older workers below age 65 to exit the workforce) — reshapes the American labor market, the dominant narrative will be that the $85 billion in sequestration cuts are responsible for sluggish growth.

That is from Reihan, most of the post is on sequestration.