War Hawks Hope to Swoop into Ukraine with a New Administration

President Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin’s childish war of words has evolved into quite the predicament. The mainstream media has been pushing the narrative that Russian aggression and troop buildups along the border with Ukraine is to blame, but is that really true? Is Putin getting ready to invade Ukraine as the media presumes, or is the war hawk rhetoric meant to justify an increasing military presence in Europe and secure more profits for the military-industrial complex?

This comes at a time when Russia has been focusing military resources and icebreaker fleets in the Arctic near the Northern Sea Route (an important shipping lane), testing Tsirkon missiles (new hypersonic “invincible” weapons) and Poseidon torpedoes (missiles that may be able to get past American defenses utilizing underwater tactics that narrowly avoid treaty violations), and flying more aircraft near the Alaskan coast than in the past; so this is alarming to military and government officials. However, even if the United States government is concerned that it will lose control over the NSR, this is Russian territory, and deploying more troops into NATO countries, which has been occurring recently, to counter Russian troop movements will only result in more confrontation. Yes, Russia is likely trying to send a signal to the West not to mess with it, but is this reason enough to risk a war with a powerful nation?

Although Ukraine is not formally an ally of the United States, President Biden immediately issued a statement promising President Volodymyr Zelensky that the United States would fight for Ukrainian “territorial integrity” and seemingly giving the country the greenlight to wage war with Russian-backed separatist forces. This is a dangerous move because it creates de facto alliance status to the not-quite-yet NATO country, and one false move or misinterpretation of events can spark a deeper conflict in the region. The United States does not need another war, especially one against an enemy supported by the Russian government.

War between the Ukrainian government and separatist forces in Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk has been ongoing since 2014, and the United States has been providing aid (totaling $2 billion so far) to help the country’s military fight off what is deemed as a violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity (ironic coming from a government that has been meddling in other country’s affairs for years). The newest round of funding comes in the form of a military aid package amounting to $125 million and includes patrol boats and radars. More aid has been approved by Congress and will be on its way in upcoming months. The slaughter against the people of the Donbass region has been and will continue to be partially on the United States’ hands because nonintervention is not “the way.”

Tensions between the United States and Russia were heightened after Russian-backed separatist forces allegedly broke a July 2020 ceasefire and killed four Ukrainian soldiers, and Russia was quickly blamed for the incident. Skirmishes that have resulted in more Ukrainian deaths have picked back up after months of silence, and Russia has been amassing troops along the border as a show of force. In addition, Russia has warned NATO that any deployment of forces in the country will result in an escalation and response, and although this may seem threatening, remember that these are just words. Russia will not engage in conflict with NATO unless provoked. Since NATO has been expanding into the Soviet Union’s former sphere of influence, Russia has felt surrounded and under threat for years, but now may be the time for it, under its perspective, to take a stand and increase military capabilities to do so. Therefore, it would be prudent of the Biden administration to deescalate tensions and not engage in a conflict that really has nothing to do with the United States.

What most Americans do not realize is that eastern Ukraine, and particularly Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk, has a large Russian-ethnic and Russian-speaking population, so it should not come as a surprise that many of the people in these regions would prefer to secede from Ukraine and join Russia. In fact, a quick look at the presidential election map will show a split between the pro-European west and pro-Russian east in terms of political allegiance (Crimea used to be part of Russia and was gifted to Ukraine, and Ukraine is not really that united of a country). Despite the American claims that Russia invaded Crimea in 2014, 97% of the Crimeans who cast their ballot in the referendum for secession voted in favor of uniting with Russia.

The 2014 Euromaidan coup against democratically-elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych that subsequently led to Russian-backed separatists taking control of Crimea had American fingerprints all over it. A leaked phone call by Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Victoria Nuland shows that the United States had an interest in deposing of the pro-Russian president and was participating in the reorganization of the Ukrainian government during the coup, and President Obama himself admitted in taking part in the transition to the pro-European government. Since the United States had an interest in the coup, had officials discussing who they did and did not want to take part in the new government, has been backing the fascist-supported government of Ukraine for several years, and has a whole laundry list of coup attempts in a similar fashion, it is pretty safe to assume that the coup was orchestrated by the United States. Since then, the genocide, civil conflict, and economic sanctions against separatist forces and Russia, have led to further instigations and the potential for American involvement in the war.

Since Ukraine would like to quickly join NATO, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin (formerly on the board of directors at Raytheon Technologies, a military defense contractor, which shows continuity and the profit motives of conflict) would like to condemn Russia at every turn and engage in the traditional war hawking. Will the United States push for war in Ukraine? It is difficult to say at this point, but what is clear is that President Biden would prefer the status quo aggressive foreign policy of his predecessors.

Thank you for reading, and please check out my book, The Global Bully, and website. I plan to release my never-before-published essays written while the 2014 Ukraine crisis was ongoing in an upcoming short and free eBook, so also be on the lookout for that.
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Published on April 07, 2021 15:38
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