Our 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages

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Our 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages

UPDATED DEC. 13, 2019 AT 11:50 AM

Latest PollsUpdated throughout the day.

POLL TYPE

All pollsPresidential approvalGeneric ballotPresident: general electionU.S. SenatePresident: Democratic primaryU.S. HouseGovernorPresident: Republican primary

STATE

All National Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

DISTRICT

All Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

APRIL 2019MAYJUNEJULYAUG.SEPT.OCT.NOV.DEC.01020304050%DEC. 13 LEADERDEC. 13 LEADERBidenBiden26.2%BidenWarrenSandersButtigieg

Average as of Dec. 13
ACTIVE CANDIDATES

Biden26.2%
Sanders17.0%
Warren14.9%
Buttigieg9.6%
Bloomberg4.7%
Yang3.4%
Klobuchar2.2%
Booker1.7%
Steyer1.4%
Gabbard1.4%
Castro1.0%
Patrick0.6%
Bennet0.6%
Delaney0.5%
Williamson0.5%

DROPOUTS

Bullock—
de Blasio—
Gillibrand—
Gravel—
Harris—
Hickenlooper—
Inslee—
Moulton—
O’Rourke—
Ryan—
Sestak—
Swalwell—

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

FILTER BY POLLSTER GRADE

A+BCDAdded Dec. 11, 2019

DATES
POLLSTER
SAMPLE
RESULT
NET RESULT

President: Democratic primary

DEC 7-10, 2019
B-YouGov
497
LV
Biden
26%
More
Biden
+5

President: Democratic primary

NOV 25-DEC 1, 2019
David Binder Research
1,200
LV
Biden
29%
More
Biden
+14

KEY

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Dec. 10, 2019

President: Democratic primary

DEC 4-9, 2019
B+Quinnipiac University
665
RV
Biden
29%
More
Biden
+12

President: Democratic primary

DEC 4-8, 2019
A+Monmouth University
384
RV
Biden
26%
More
Biden
+5

Dec. 9, 2019

President: Democratic primary

DEC 2-8, 2019
B/C Morning Consult
15,442
LV
Biden
30%
More
Biden
+8

President: Democratic primary

NOV 27-29, 2019
C+Harris Poll
756
RV
H. Clinton
21%
More
H. Clinton
+1

President: Democratic primary

NOV 15-21, 2019
B/C RealClear Opinion Research
987
LV
Biden
30%
More
Biden
+7

Dec. 6, 2019

President: Democratic primary

NOV 27-29, 2019
C+Harris Poll
756
RV
Biden
29%
More
Biden
+13

Dec. 5, 2019

President: Democratic primary

DEC 4-5, 2019
B-Ipsos
719
A
Biden
19%
More
Biden
+5

Show more polls

Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter.

* Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it. Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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Download this data: presidential primary polls, presidential general election polls, Senate polls, House polls, gubernatorial polls, presidential approval polls, generic congressional ballot polls

Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani and Julia Wolfe. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research.