Carley Garner's Blog: What's new on DeCarleyTrading.com, page 41
October 19, 2016
Jim Cramer and Carley Garner Analyze the Commodity Markets
Jim Cramer invited experienced commodity broker and futures market analyst, Carley Garner, to share her thoughts on commodity indices such as the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index and the Dow Jones Commodity Index for the October 18th episode of Mad Money on CNBC.

October 18, 2016
Carley Garner and Kevin Davey discuss algorithmic trading

Join us on Wednesday, October 26th for a free webinar to discuss futures trading systems!

When: October 26th 4:30 pm Eastern
Where: Online
How: Click here to register
Have you always been interested in algorithmic or automated futures trading, but did not know where to start? Join commodity broker and author, Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading, and trading contest champion and full-time trader Kevin J. Davey as they introduce you to the world of algorithmic and automated trading.

See our article in the November issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities Magazine
Beginning commodity traders tend to migrate to the practice of trading futures contracts as opposed to options due to their simplicity. After all, a futures trader has the ability to place a stop loss order, he can easily determine his profit and loss with absolute certainty based on incremental price movements, and he has nearly 24-hour liquid market access. However, there are some flaws in this thinking.
For starters, stop loss orders arguably cause more harm than good in some scenarios. If this statement is confusing to you, imagine being stopped out of a short e-mini S&P position on the evening of June 24th near 2119 only to watch the market crater seconds later by 120 points! Not only would the trader have likely taken a steep loss, but the emotional trauma of missing one of the best short trades of a lifetime wouldn’t have sat well with the trader either.

October 13, 2016
Futures Trading Books, Buy One Get One Offer

"Higher Probability Commodity Trading" is Carley's fourth effort, and arguably her finest. Dan Dicker, the author of "Shale Boom, Shale Bust" calls it the 'bible" of futures trading. Phil Flynn, a FOX Business news contributor called it her masterpiece, and Jon Najarian believes it should be on your shelf!
"The commodity trading industry is starved for easy-to-read and entertaining, futures and options trading books focused on translating the complex derivatives markets. My fourth book on commodities, Higher Probability Commodity Trading, aims at bridging the gap between sophisticated futures and options traders, and the “average Joe”. Enjoy!" - Carley Garner
"Currency Trading" guides readers through the smoke and mirrors known as the FOREX markets and points traders to better methods of currency market speculation.
Click here to purchase a signed copy of Higher Probability Commodity Trading and to receive a FREE copy of Currency Trading!

October 11, 2016
Larry Jacobs of TradersWorld Magazine reviews Carley's new Futures Trading Book

"Carley discusses many alternative market concepts and views such as option selling techniques, hedging futures positions with options and even combining fundamentals, seasonal, sentiment, and technical analysis to gauge market changes."
Continue reading in issue #64 of TradersWorld Magazine.

Purchase Carley Garner's latest futures trading book on Amazon.

October 10, 2016
All you Need to Know about Commodity Trading - Carley Garner

Carley Garner, an experienced commodity broker at DeCarley Trading, was interviewed in episode 61 of the Desire to Trade Podcast hosted by Etienne Crete.
"Carley mentions that option trading is done at a slower pace than other assets such as Forex, stocks, and futures. 80% of options expires worthless. We also discuss option selling, a way to make money on a higher probability with unlimited risk. As an option buyer, the risk is limited but the probability of making a profit is smaller. There are loads of valuable advice in this episode. Carley has the experience and lessons needed." - Etienne Crete
In this interview, Carley Garner touches on some of the ideas she expands on in her latest book, "Higher Probability Commodity Trading".

October 6, 2016
Another look at the crude oil futures market

Is the WTI oil rally ready to bust, or is this the beginning of a boom?
OPEC’s pledge to trim output quickly changed the short-term landscape of the crude oil market but it probably didn’t solve the long-term supply problem and it certainly didn’t alter the seasonal tendency of the commodity. According to the last thirty years of data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI) has found that the price of oil (based on the December futures contract) tends to peak in mid-October. More specifically, the seasonal service claims a trader selling December crude oil on October 16th and buying it back on the 30th would have been profitable in 13 of the previous 15 years. While we understand each trading year is unique in its fundamental, political, and economic environment we also recognize that reoccurring patterns generally shouldn’t be scoffed at.

September 30, 2016
Fed Funds Futures aren't pricing in a December interest rate hike
This was emailed to our futures brokerage clients on September 30th, 2016
Sell December Fed Funds Futures
The Federal Reserve has made it relatively clear that they intend to raise interest rates in the December meeting. Also, there were three dissenting members in the last meeting which is a rare occurrence and generally points toward a committee inching toward taking action.
We've noticed the market isn't necessarily "buying" what the Fed is selling but we believe they will do exactly what they did in 2015; sneak in a holiday rate hike in an attempt to move toward normalization.

September 28, 2016
What is the best way to get into crude oil trading?
Topics discussed in this interview include the efficiency of trading oil futures relative to crude oil ETFs, the correlation between the US dollar and oil prices, and the direction crude oil prices might travel through year's end.

Dukascopy TV recently interviewed Carley Garner on copper futures trading
Experienced commodity broker Carley Garner and Dukascopy sat down to talk about Chinese demand and production of copper, in addition to seasonal tendencies and Commitments of Traders stats regarding copper futures.

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