Thinking in Bets Quotes

“Once a belief is lodged, it becomes difficult to dislodge. It takes on a life of its own, leading us to notice and seek out evidence confirming our belief, rarely challenge the validity of confirming evidence, and ignore or work hard to actively discredit information contradicting the belief. This irrational, circular information-processing pattern is called motivated reasoning. The way we process new information is driven by the beliefs we hold, strengthening them. Those strengthened beliefs then drive how we process further information, and so on.”
― Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

“...thinking in bets is not a miracle cure. Thinking in bets won't make self-serving bias disappear or motivated reasoning vanish into thin air. But it will make those things better. And a little bit better is all we need to transform our lives.”
― Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

“there are exactly two things that determine how our lives turn out: the quality of our decisions and luck.”
― Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

“information. We”
― Annie Duke, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts