Predictably Irrational Quotes

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Predictably Irrational Quotes
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“In a modern democracy, he said, people are beset not by a lack of opportunity, but by a dizzying abundance of it.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“People choose to work more if they do it for free or if well-compensated but not if it is compensated with a little money.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“One thing is sure: if we don’t teach our young people how to deal with sex when they are half out of their minds, we are not only fooling them; we’re fooling ourselves as well. Whatever lessons we teach them, we need to help them understand that they will react differently when they are calm and cool from when their hormones are raging at fever pitch (and of course the same also applies to our own behavior).”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“EXPECTATIONS ALSO SHAPE stereotypes. A stereotype, after all, is a way of categorizing information, in the hope of predicting experiences. The brain cannot start from scratch at every new situation. It must build on what it has seen before. For that reason, stereotypes are not intrinsically malevolent. They provide shortcuts in our never-ending attempt to make sense of complicated surroundings. This is why we have the expectation that an elderly person will need help using a computer or that a student at Harvard will be intelligent.* But because a stereotype provides us with specific expectations about members of a group, it can also unfavorably influence both our perceptions and our behavior. Research on stereotypes shows not only that we react differently when we have a stereotype of a certain group of people, but also that stereotyped people themselves react differently when they are aware of the label that they are forced to wear (in psychological parlance, they are “primed” with this label). One stereotype of Asian-Americans, for instance, is that they are especially gifted in mathematics and science. A common stereotype of females is that they are weak in mathematics. This means that Asian-American women could be influenced by both notions.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“he started by selling his Porsche Boxster and buying a Toyota Prius in its place.4 “I don’t want to live the life of a Boxster,” he told the New York Times, “because when you get a Boxster you wish you had a 911, and you know what people who have 911s wish they had? They wish they had a Ferrari.” That’s a lesson we can all learn: the more we have, the more we want. And the only cure is to break the cycle of relativity.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“most people don't know what they want unless they see it in context. We don't know what kind of racing bike we want—until we see a champ in the Tour de France ratcheting the gears on a particular model. We don't know what kind of speaker system we like—until we hear a set of speakers that sounds better than the previous one. We don't even know what we want to do with our lives—until we find a relative or a friend who is doing just what we think we should be doing.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“We are governed with market norms (money) in exchange for pleasure, neccesities. That's what is wrong with the system. If services are free, everyone will think about social justice, the consequences of appearing greedy and the welfare of everyone.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“at Dunkin’ Donuts, how did we move our anchor to Starbucks? This is where it gets really interesting. When Howard Shultz created Starbucks, he was as intuitive a businessman as Salvador Assael. He worked diligently to separate Starbucks from other coffee shops, not through price but through ambience. Accordingly, he designed Starbucks from the very beginning to feel like a continental coffeehouse. The early shops were fragrant with the smell of roasted beans (and better-quality roasted beans than those at Dunkin’ Donuts). They sold fancy French coffee presses. The showcases presented alluring snacks—almond croissants, biscotti, raspberry custard pastries, and others. Whereas Dunkin’ Donuts had small, medium, and large coffees, Starbucks offered Short, Tall, Grande, and Venti, as well as drinks with high-pedigree names like Caffè Americano, Caffè Misto, Macchiato, and Frappuccino. Starbucks did everything in its power, in other words, to make the experience feel different—so different that we would not use the prices at Dunkin’ Donuts as an anchor, but instead would be open to the new anchor that Starbucks was preparing for us. And that, to a great extent, is how Starbucks succeeded. GEORGE, DRAZEN, AND I were so excited with the experiments on coherent arbitrariness that we decided to push the idea one step farther. This time, we had a different twist to explore. Do you remember the famous episode in The Adventures of Tom Sawyer, the one in which Tom turned the whitewashing of Aunt Polly’s fence into an exercise in manipulating his friends? As I’m sure you recall, Tom applied the paint with gusto, pretending to enjoy the job. “Do you call this work?” Tom told his friends. “Does a boy get a chance to whitewash a fence every day?” Armed with this new “information,” his friends discovered the joys of whitewashing a fence. Before long, Tom’s friends were not only paying him for the privilege, but deriving real pleasure from the task—a win-win outcome if there ever was one. From our perspective, Tom transformed a negative experience to a positive one—he transformed a situation in which compensation was required to one in which people (Tom’s friends) would pay to get in on the fun. Could we do the same? We”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Some special conpanies see trust as the pulic good.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“If I were to distill one main lesson from the research described in this book, it is that we are pawns in a game whose forces we largely fail to comprehend. We usually think of ourselves as sitting in the driver's seat, with ultimate control over the decisions we make and the direction our life takes; but, alas, this perception has more to do with our desires-with how we want to view ourselves-than with reality.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“By the time we comprehend and digest information, it is not necessarily a true reflection of reality. Instead, it is our representation of reality, and this is the input we base our decisions on. In essence we are limited to the tools nature has given us, and the natural way in which we make decisions is limited by the quality and accuracy of these tools.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“SO, WHERE DOES this leave us? If we can’t rely on the market forces of supply and demand to set optimal market prices, and we can’t count on free-market mechanisms to help us maximize our utility, then we may need to look elsewhere. This is especially the case with society’s essentials, such as health care, medicine, water, electricity, education, and other critical resources. If you accept the premise that market forces and free markets will not always regulate the market for the best, then you may find yourself among those who believe that the government (we hope a reasonable and thoughtful government) must play a larger role in regulating some market activities, even if this limits free enterprise. Yes, a free market based on supply, demand, and no friction would be the ideal if we were truly rational. Yet when we are not rational but irrational, policies should take this important factor into account.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“There's an old saying, "One man's ceiling is another man's floor." Well, when you're the owner, you're at the ceiling; and when you're the buyer, you're at the floor.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“This is the problem of relativity-we look at our decisions in a relative way and compare them locally to the available alternative.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Although a feeling of awe at the capability of humans is clearly justified, there is a large difference between a deep sense of admiration and the assumption that our reasoning abilities are perfect.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“ONE OF THE main differences between standard and behavioral economics involves this concept of “free lunches.” According to the assumptions of standard economics, all human decisions are rational and informed, motivated by an accurate concept of the worth of all goods and services and the amount of happiness (utility) all decisions are likely to produce. Under this set of assumptions, everyone in the marketplace is trying to maximize profit and striving to optimize his experiences. As a consequence, economic theory asserts that there are no free lunches—if there were any, someone would have already found them and extracted all their value. Behavioral economists, on the other hand, believe that people are susceptible to irrelevant influences from their immediate environment (which we call context effects), irrelevant emotions, shortsightedness, and other forms of irrationality (see any chapter in this book or any research paper in behavioral economics for more examples). What good news can accompany this realization? The good news is that these mistakes also provide opportunities for improvement. If we all make systematic mistakes in our decisions, then why not develop new strategies, tools, and methods to help us make better decisions and improve our overall well-being? That’s exactly the meaning of free lunches from the perspective of behavioral economics—the idea that there are tools, methods, and policies that can help all of us make better decisions and as a consequence achieve what we desire.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“in order to make a man covet a thing, it is only necessary to make the thing difficult to attain.” H”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Even the most brilliant and rational person, in the heat of passion, seems to be absolutely and completely divorced from the person he thought he was.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“what it is about life that motivates people and causes us to behave as we do.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“In essence, individuals more concerned with portraying their own uniqueness were more likely to select an alcoholic beverage not yet ordered at their table in an effort to demonstrate that they were in fact one of a kind. What these results show is that people are sometimes willing to sacrifice the pleasure they get from a particular consumption experience in order to project a certain image to others. When people order food and drinks, they seem to have two goals: to order what they will enjoy most and to portray themselves in a positive light in the eyes of their friends.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“When the Starbursts cost a cent apiece, the average number of candies per customer was 3.5, but when the price went down to zero, the average went down to 1.1 per customer. The students limited themselves to a large degree when the candy was free. In fact, almost all the students applied a very simple social-norm rule in this situation—they politely took one and only one Starburst. ... What these results mean is that when price is not a part of the exchange, we become less selfish maximizers and start caring more about the welfare of others. We saw this demonstrated by the fact that when the price decreased to zero, customers restrained themselves and took far fewer units.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“We don’t even know what we want to do with our lives—until we find a relative or a friend who is doing just what we think we should be doing.”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“But guess what happened. Once salaries became public information, the media regularly ran special stories ranking CEOs by pay. Rather than suppressing the executive perks, the publicity had CEOs in America comparing their pay with that of everyone else. In response, executives’ salaries skyrocketed. The trend was further “helped” by compensation consulting firms (scathingly dubbed “Ratchet, Ratchet, and Bingo” by the investor Warren Buffett) that advised their CEO clients to demand outrageous raises. The result? Now the average CEO makes about 369 times as much as the average worker—about three times the salary before executive compensation went public. Keeping that in mind, I had a few questions for the executive I met with. “What would happen,” I ventured, “if the information in your salary database became known throughout the company?” The executive looked at me with alarm. “We could get over a lot of things here—insider trading, financial scandals, and the like—but if everyone knew everyone else’s salary, it would be a true catastrophe. All but the highest-paid individual would feel underpaid—and I wouldn’t be surprised if they went out and looked for another job.” Isn’t this odd? It has been shown repeatedly that the link between amount of salary and happiness is not as strong as one would expect it to be”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Research on stereotypes shows not only that we react differently when we have a stereotype of a certain group of people, but also that stereotyped people themselves react differently when they are aware of the label that they are forced to wear (in psychological parlance, they are “primed” with this label).”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“It’s not just the behavior that I have tried to understand, though, but also the decision-making processes behind such behavior”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“We fail to realize that some things really are disappearing doors, and need our immediate attention. We may work more hours at our jobs, for instance, without realizing that the childhood of our sons and daughters is slipping away. Sometimes these doors close too slowly for us to see them vanishing. One of my friends told me, for instance, that the single best year of his marriage was when he was living in New York, his wife was living in Boston, and they met only on weekends. Before they had this arrangement - when they lived together in Boston - they would spend their weekends catching up on work rather than enjoying each other. But once the arrangement changed, and they knew that they had only the weekends together, their shared time became limited and had a clear end (the time of the return train).”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Descartes said, Cogito ergo sum-"I think therefore I am." But suppose we are nothing more than the sum of our first, naive, random behaviors. What then?”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“This, then, is what we call arbitrary coherence. Initial prices are largely “arbitrary” and can be influenced by responses to random questions; but once those prices are established in our minds, they shape not only what we are willing to pay for an item, but also how much we are willing to pay for related products (this makes them coherent).”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“Internet subscription for $59—seemed reasonable. The second option—the $125 print subscription—seemed a bit expensive, but still reasonable. But then I read the third option: a print and Internet subscription for $125. I read it twice before my eye ran back to the previous options. Who would want to buy the print option alone, I wondered, when both the Internet and the print subscriptions were offered for the same price? Now, the print-only option may have been a typographical error, but I suspect that the clever people at the Economist's London offices (and they are clever—and quite mischievous in a British sort of way) were actually manipulating me. I am pretty certain that they wanted me to skip the Internet-only option (which they assumed would be my choice, since I was reading the advertisement on the Web) and jump to the more expensive option: Internet and print. But how could they manipulate me? I suspect it's because the Economist's marketing wizards (and I could just picture them in their school ties and blazers) knew something important about human behavior: humans rarely choose things in absolute terms. We don't have an internal value meter that tells us how much things are worth. Rather, we focus on the relative advantage of one thing over another, and estimate value accordingly. (For instance, we don't know how much a six-cylinder car is worth, but we can assume it's more expensive than the four-cylinder model.) In the case of the Economist, I may not have known whether the Internet-only subscription at $59 was a better deal than the print-only option at $125. But I certainly knew that the print-and-Internet option for $125 was better than the print-only option at $125. In fact, you could reasonably deduce that in the combination package, the Internet subscription is free! “It's a bloody steal—go for it, governor!” I could almost hear them shout from the riverbanks of the Thames. And I have to admit, if I had been inclined to subscribe I probably would have taken the package deal myself. (Later, when I tested the offer on a large number of participants, the vast majority preferred the Internet-and-print deal.)”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
“There are other interesting practices. Have you ever heard the term “wardrobing”? Wardrobing is buying an item of clothing, wearing it for a while, and then returning it in such a state that the store has to accept it but can no longer resell it. By engaging in wardrobing, consumers are not directly stealing money from the company; instead, it is a dance of buying and returning, with many unclear transactions involved. But there is at least one clear consequence—the clothing industry estimates that its annual losses from wardrobing are about $ 16 billion (about the same amount as the estimated annual loss from home burglaries and automobile theft combined).”
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
― Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions