Sarah’s Reviews > Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know > Status Update
Sarah
is on page 93 of 307
Joy of being wrong: successful forecasters predict, assess confidence in predictions, make a list of conditions that need to be true for the prediction to come true, and constantly reassess & take in new info. I can do this too!
Good fights: high-performing groups have “task conflict” or disagreements about ideas & opinions. Argue about “how” and build a “challenge network.”
— 7 hours, 47 min ago
Good fights: high-performing groups have “task conflict” or disagreements about ideas & opinions. Argue about “how” and build a “challenge network.”
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Sarah’s Previous Updates
Sarah
is on page 119 of 307
Successful debates:
- select a few strong arguments (too many arguments can dilute efficacy)
- concede when someone makes a good point
- ask “what evidence would change your mind?”
- when other side gets angry -> get curious
- acknowledge legitimate weaknesses
— 7 hours, 23 min ago
- select a few strong arguments (too many arguments can dilute efficacy)
- concede when someone makes a good point
- ask “what evidence would change your mind?”
- when other side gets angry -> get curious
- acknowledge legitimate weaknesses
Sarah
is on page 47 of 307
Rethinking cycle:
1. Humility
2. Doubt
3. Curiosity
4. Discovery
Confident humility: have faith in my capability while appreciating I may not have the right solution nor addressing the right problem
Confidence: ability to achieve goal while questioning if I have the right tools in the present
— Mar 30, 2026 12:48AM
1. Humility
2. Doubt
3. Curiosity
4. Discovery
Confident humility: have faith in my capability while appreciating I may not have the right solution nor addressing the right problem
Confidence: ability to achieve goal while questioning if I have the right tools in the present
Sarah
is on page 20 of 307
Scientist: seeking truth
1. Run experiments
2. Test hypotheses
3. Ask “what might I be missing?” and “where might I be wrong?”
— Mar 30, 2026 12:45AM
1. Run experiments
2. Test hypotheses
3. Ask “what might I be missing?” and “where might I be wrong?”
Sarah
is on page 18 of 307
Mindsets that can lead us astray:
1. Preacher: sacred beliefs are in jeopardy -> deliver sermons to protect ideal
2. Prosecutor: recognize someone else is wrong & “marshal arguments” to win our case
3. Politician: seek to win over an audience
— Mar 30, 2026 12:43AM
1. Preacher: sacred beliefs are in jeopardy -> deliver sermons to protect ideal
2. Prosecutor: recognize someone else is wrong & “marshal arguments” to win our case
3. Politician: seek to win over an audience
