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“The marginal gains approach is not just about mechanistic iteration. You need judgment and creativity to determine how to find solutions to what the data is telling you, but those judgments, in turn, are tested as part of the next optimization loop. Creativity not guided by a feedback mechanism is little more than white noise. Success is a complex interplay between creativity and measurement, the two operating together, the two sides of the optimization loop.”
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
“Marginal gains is not about making small changes and hoping they fly. Rather, it is about breaking down a big problem into small parts in order to rigorously establish what works and what doesn’t. Ultimately the approach emerges from a basic property of empirical evidence: to find out if something is working, you must isolate its effect. Controlled experimentation is inherently “marginal” in character.”
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
“the most powerful engine of progress is to be found deep within the culture of the industry. It is an attitude that is easy to state, but whose wider application could revolutionize our attitude to progress: instead of denying failure, or spinning it, aviation learns from failure.”
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
“As Duflo puts it: “It is possible to make significant progress against the biggest problem in the world through the accumulation of a set of small steps, each well thought out, carefully tested, and judiciously implemented.”
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
“The secret to modern F1 is not really to do with big ticket items; it is about hundreds of thousands of small items, optimized to the nth degree. People think that things like engines are based upon high-level strategic decisions, but they are not. What is an engine except many iterations of small components? You start with a sensible design, but it is the iterative process that guides you to the best solution. Success is about creating the most effective optimization loop.”
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
― Black Box Thinking: Why Some People Never Learn from Their Mistakes - But Some Do
Tim’s 2025 Year in Books
Take a look at Tim’s Year in Books, including some fun facts about their reading.
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