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“For an Asian concert to be even remotely acceptable to its great-power members, we must rule out the idea of it being built on liberal principles.”
Sam Roggeveen, The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace

“Either the nation of the dead will come to be seen as an isolated phenomenon of the twentieth century – in which case history will want to know more and more about its make-up and characteristics. Or it will grow by fits and starts as an ever-increasing menace to the idea of civilization – and the sooner history identifies the nature of that threat the better. Or, through some cataclysm in the future it will swell in numbers to obliterate in significance any nation of the living. In that case it will be the final phenomenon of our history. There are no other possibilities.”
Gil Elliot, The Twentieth Century Book of the Dead

“Given the recent remarkable advances in artificial intelligence, scouting will probably involve “algorithmic warfare,” with competing AI systems plowing through vast amounts of data to identify patterns of enemy behavior that might elude human analysts. Identifying enemy operational tendencies may also aid commanders in employing their forces more effectively, similar to the way the introduction of operations research aided the allies in identifying effective convoy operations during the Battle of the Atlantic in World War II.30 AI could potentially assist efforts to develop malware, which could be used to erase or corrupt enemy scouting information, including the enemy’s AI algorithms themselves. If these efforts are successful, enemy commanders may lose confidence in their scouts, producing a “mission kill,” in which much of the enemy’s scouting force continues to operate but where its product is suspect.”
Andrew F. Krepinevich, The Origins of Victory: How Disruptive Military Innovation Determines the Fates of Great Powers

“If it is costly to resist a change in the balance of power, and if the consequences of such a change are bearable, then it is likely such a change will happen. Such is the basic logic of my argument that America will decline as a great power in the Asia Pacific. When it comes to taking on China, the costs are too high and the stakes too low.”
Sam Roggeveen, The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace

“America has all the ingredients for sustained economic and military strength over many generations. But a fight for leadership in Asia will require not only massive resources but also a measure of national will that is difficult to summon unless the stakes are existential. And the problem for those who want to see America take on this contest against China is that the United States is one of the most secure nations on earth, and therefore has no powerful motivation to do so.”
Sam Roggeveen, The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace

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