In the America of Truman and Eisenhower, the Germany of Adenauer, the Britain of Churchill, and other Western democracies, power brokers who answered to working-class and rural constituencies—grassroots party politicians, trade union and
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“Either the nation of the dead will come to be seen as an isolated phenomenon of the twentieth century – in which case history will want to know more and more about its make-up and characteristics. Or it will grow by fits and starts as an ever-increasing menace to the idea of civilization – and the sooner history identifies the nature of that threat the better. Or, through some cataclysm in the future it will swell in numbers to obliterate in significance any nation of the living. In that case it will be the final phenomenon of our history. There are no other possibilities.”
― The Twentieth Century Book of the Dead
― The Twentieth Century Book of the Dead
“If it is costly to resist a change in the balance of power, and if the consequences of such a change are bearable, then it is likely such a change will happen. Such is the basic logic of my argument that America will decline as a great power in the Asia Pacific. When it comes to taking on China, the costs are too high and the stakes too low.”
― The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace
― The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace
“For an Asian concert to be even remotely acceptable to its great-power members, we must rule out the idea of it being built on liberal principles.”
― The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace
― The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and Peace
“Given the recent remarkable advances in artificial intelligence, scouting will probably involve “algorithmic warfare,” with competing AI systems plowing through vast amounts of data to identify patterns of enemy behavior that might elude human analysts. Identifying enemy operational tendencies may also aid commanders in employing their forces more effectively, similar to the way the introduction of operations research aided the allies in identifying effective convoy operations during the Battle of the Atlantic in World War II.30 AI could potentially assist efforts to develop malware, which could be used to erase or corrupt enemy scouting information, including the enemy’s AI algorithms themselves. If these efforts are successful, enemy commanders may lose confidence in their scouts, producing a “mission kill,” in which much of the enemy’s scouting force continues to operate but where its product is suspect.”
― The Origins of Victory: How Disruptive Military Innovation Determines the Fates of Great Powers
― The Origins of Victory: How Disruptive Military Innovation Determines the Fates of Great Powers
“What China cannot ignore is how the narrative of the CCP as the champion and redeemer of a victimised China could dangerously narrow China’s options if an accident with the US or Japan should occur. War is not in China’s interest, and Beijing may for all the reasons I have earlier set out, want to contain the incident. But Beijing could be trapped by its own historical narrative, and the highly nationalistic public opinion that the CCP both cultivates and fears may force China down paths it does not really want to travel. I think Chinese leaders are aware of this danger but cannot abandon or tone down the narrative they have chosen to legitimate their right to rule because they have no convincing replacement.”
― Dealing With An Ambiguos World
― Dealing With An Ambiguos World
Anusar’s 2025 Year in Books
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