The History Book Club discussion
PRESIDENTIAL SERIES
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THE PRIMARIES, THE CONVENTIONS, THE ELECTION
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Yes it is.
Very true on the delegate counts.
Remember that the super delegates usually go with the popular consensus - they honestly have - remember they were for Hilary in 2008 and then went with Obama. There is really no way that I can see that Bernie can catch up with Hilary or Cruz with Trump but you never know.
Possibly a chance for Cruz because of the Republican machinations. I think Bernie's on the ground campaign in New York started too late - it was already over for him to gain an independent influx.
Very true on the delegate counts.
Remember that the super delegates usually go with the popular consensus - they honestly have - remember they were for Hilary in 2008 and then went with Obama. There is really no way that I can see that Bernie can catch up with Hilary or Cruz with Trump but you never know.
Possibly a chance for Cruz because of the Republican machinations. I think Bernie's on the ground campaign in New York started too late - it was already over for him to gain an independent influx.

If Republicans had superdelegates, Trump wouldn't have a chance.

I don't think Trump stands a chance as it is unless he gets 1,237. The Republicans are in a pickle and I'm afraid the convention could be very ugly indeed.
Stuart wrote: "Superdelegates were put in place after the 1980 election to make it harder for non-establishment candidates to win after George McGovern (who had helped write the previous rules) and Jimmy Carter s..."
Very true Stuart
Very true Stuart

Jill, what an interesting question you pose. I must admit that I have been surprised and amazed at the Sanders candidacy. First I must say that I applaud the fact that he has inspired such large numbers of young people to be so involved in politics but I am weary of his message that I have heard for 30+ years in the Senate with little results. I am watching a rally in NYC right now where he has thousands of supporters cheering him on. As the New York Times showed, he doesn't have an idea when asked how to implement his ideas. I think he is appealing to the better angels of out nature - as President Obama stated recently, it is easy to want the "bright shiny object."

There are a lot of group members who are "feeling the bern" - I am not one of them but then again - maybe I expect folks to have a plan on how they are going to get from a to b and how much it is going to cost.
I think he is appealing to the younger set because of the "freebies" he is promising.
I agree more should be done for regular Americans and for Americans like you and I versus corporate America and lobbyists who work for them. However, his approach is rather simplistic and I don't think he is able to answer any of the tough questions.
Again, I would prefer him over let us say - Cruz - but I am not sure if he is moderate enough to get anything done with Congress given his stance on major issues. And I am deathly afraid of him and one Republican candidate when it comes to foreign affairs and military matters.
I am not sure we have a bumper crop this year. But everybody will have their favorite I am sure.
I think he is appealing to the younger set because of the "freebies" he is promising.
I agree more should be done for regular Americans and for Americans like you and I versus corporate America and lobbyists who work for them. However, his approach is rather simplistic and I don't think he is able to answer any of the tough questions.
Again, I would prefer him over let us say - Cruz - but I am not sure if he is moderate enough to get anything done with Congress given his stance on major issues. And I am deathly afraid of him and one Republican candidate when it comes to foreign affairs and military matters.
I am not sure we have a bumper crop this year. But everybody will have their favorite I am sure.
Going down memory lane
I thought everybody would enjoy this one - Bernie Sanders when he was mayor in 1988 of Burlington, Vermont and beside his name is (socialist) - he has hair - and his views do not seem to have changed.
Enjoy - for those folks out there who are for him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KL8Bp...
Hillary Clinton in 1979 - very well spoken even in 1979 when Bill Clinton was the youngest governor in the nation.
https://youtu.be/bg_sEZg7-rk
In January 1993 with Hillary Clinton - just before packing to move into the White House
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=idEUZ...
NBC News - Hillary: America's First Lady (June 1993)
Josh Burdock (6 months later and in the White House)
https://youtu.be/NRCxMlx5dYI
I thought everybody would enjoy this one - Bernie Sanders when he was mayor in 1988 of Burlington, Vermont and beside his name is (socialist) - he has hair - and his views do not seem to have changed.
Enjoy - for those folks out there who are for him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KL8Bp...
Hillary Clinton in 1979 - very well spoken even in 1979 when Bill Clinton was the youngest governor in the nation.
https://youtu.be/bg_sEZg7-rk
In January 1993 with Hillary Clinton - just before packing to move into the White House
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=idEUZ...
NBC News - Hillary: America's First Lady (June 1993)
Josh Burdock (6 months later and in the White House)
https://youtu.be/NRCxMlx5dYI
More going down Memory Lane
Donald Trump in 1988 on Oprah
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEPs1...
Ted Cruz in high school - a person who obviously was not a high school friend released this: (obviously just a young immature high school kid at the time)
https://youtu.be/qQPF1xY9SXk
However Ted Cruz's former college roommate is not so happy:
https://youtu.be/tuFBfjWXy98
Gov. John Kasich: Ted Cruz is 'Sen. Smear'
https://youtu.be/DWdyLUSb7x8

John Kasich and his first wife Mary Lee Griffith were married from 1975-1980.
Donald Trump in 1988 on Oprah
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEPs1...
Ted Cruz in high school - a person who obviously was not a high school friend released this: (obviously just a young immature high school kid at the time)
https://youtu.be/qQPF1xY9SXk
However Ted Cruz's former college roommate is not so happy:
https://youtu.be/tuFBfjWXy98
Gov. John Kasich: Ted Cruz is 'Sen. Smear'
https://youtu.be/DWdyLUSb7x8

John Kasich and his first wife Mary Lee Griffith were married from 1975-1980.

They were Alice and they were very loyal to JFK too. Many of them are.
It is interesting to me in remembering primaries of the past that the candidates reflect the issues that the voters bring up as important - right now we are talking about our immigration problem, dearth of jobs, corporation thumbing their noses at the population and government and not paying their taxes or what they should pay, cost of education, breaking up of the banks (Sanders), bad trade deals, Obamacare (everybody is fairly happy with the fact that pre-existing conditions are covered but this seems to be the mantra of the Republicans). The democrats thanks to Bernie Sanders are focusing on the cost of education, break up of the banks, and the corporate greed. The Republicans thanks to Trump are talking about immigration, the wall, bad trade deals, corporations not doing their fair share for the American worker,
These outliers (Sanders and Trump) are stretching the conversation no matter if you like them or not. Very simply in the same way that Ross Perot forced the candidates to talk about the national debt and then we did something about it and we had a surplus when Clinton left office. However when George W came to office he tanked the country and increased the national debt so much that I wonder who can fix this. When he left after two wars - one which was totally unnecessary and is the cause I think of ISIS taking hold in the Middle East - the next President faced a country going into depression - through the team that was brought together - that bullet was dodged and there has been some improvement but not as dramatic as I feel you are looking for.
Will the next president be able to build upon the progress that we have made or will they take us further into debt? That is the problem we are facing now with our candidates and nobody is talking about the national debt? Maybe we need to have someone like a Ross Perot bring back the charts. They were very effective.
Alice, I do understand where you are coming from.
It is interesting to me in remembering primaries of the past that the candidates reflect the issues that the voters bring up as important - right now we are talking about our immigration problem, dearth of jobs, corporation thumbing their noses at the population and government and not paying their taxes or what they should pay, cost of education, breaking up of the banks (Sanders), bad trade deals, Obamacare (everybody is fairly happy with the fact that pre-existing conditions are covered but this seems to be the mantra of the Republicans). The democrats thanks to Bernie Sanders are focusing on the cost of education, break up of the banks, and the corporate greed. The Republicans thanks to Trump are talking about immigration, the wall, bad trade deals, corporations not doing their fair share for the American worker,
These outliers (Sanders and Trump) are stretching the conversation no matter if you like them or not. Very simply in the same way that Ross Perot forced the candidates to talk about the national debt and then we did something about it and we had a surplus when Clinton left office. However when George W came to office he tanked the country and increased the national debt so much that I wonder who can fix this. When he left after two wars - one which was totally unnecessary and is the cause I think of ISIS taking hold in the Middle East - the next President faced a country going into depression - through the team that was brought together - that bullet was dodged and there has been some improvement but not as dramatic as I feel you are looking for.
Will the next president be able to build upon the progress that we have made or will they take us further into debt? That is the problem we are facing now with our candidates and nobody is talking about the national debt? Maybe we need to have someone like a Ross Perot bring back the charts. They were very effective.
Alice, I do understand where you are coming from.

Jill: the Constitution covers how a president is elected, but not nominated. So, it has been a state-driven thing. This is why things have been different.
The Dems also changed the rules a lot over the last 40 years.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_S2G8...


Website: 2016 Election Central | 2016 Presidential Debates
Monday, September 26, 2016
First presidential debate
Moderator: Lester Holt, Anchor, NBC Nightly News
Location: Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY
Tuesday, October 4, 2016
Vice presidential debate
Moderator: Elaine Quijano, Anchor, CBSN and Correspondent, CBS News
Location: Longwood University, Farmville, VA
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Second presidential debate
Moderator: Martha Raddatz, Chief Global Affairs Correspondent and Co-Anchor of "This Week," ABC
Moderator: Anderson Cooper, Anchor, CNN
Location: Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO
Wednesday, October 19, 2016
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Location: University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV
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Books mentioned in this topic
Tension City: Inside the Presidential Debates (other topics)The Party Is Over: How Republicans Went Crazy, Democrats Became Useless, and the Middle Class Got Shafted (other topics)
Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People (other topics)
Unreasonable Men: Theodore Roosevelt and the Republican Rebels Who Created Progressive Politics (other topics)
The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election (other topics)
More...
Authors mentioned in this topic
Jim Lehrer (other topics)Mike Lofgren (other topics)
Thomas Frank (other topics)
Michael Wolraich (other topics)
John Sides (other topics)
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New York's Closed Primary Could Be Bernie Sanders' Achilles' Heel
by ALEX SEITZ-WALD
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-...
Source: NBCnews