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What else are you watching?
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Trike
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Nov 28, 2022 11:23PM

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The playlist is over at https://www.goodreads.com/topic/show/...


The playlist is over at https://www.goodreads.com/topic/show/..."
Thanks for that ! The music was excellent.

One funny moment: When Ian defeats Ixta using his thumb. I would swear that's a straight up Vulcan Neck Pinch. Makes me wonder if Nimoy was a Dr. Who fan...

Andor is top knotch!

Looks like an early take on Cybermen with the Robomen. I'm kinda curious if Terry Nation was playing with that concept then.





What are “Di$ney politics”? That orphans are better protagonists? Single-parent families means free added angst and they don’t have to pay another actor?

Continuing on with the First Doctor, now in the second season. We're watching more for historical interest than anything else. Some are enjoyable despite being overdone by today's standards, like the overacting Iago type in The Aztecs. Dalek Invasion of Earth held up. Middle of the second season though, not so much.
First a two-parter set up just to introduce Susan's replacement. The actress was over 30 but she's apparently playing a young teen, so there's a constant incongruity. Then The Romans, just silly throughout. I could really have done without the "Emperor's New Clothes" bit with the lyre, that stood out from my first watch of that serial several years back as something way overblown.
After that, The Web Planet. A decent concept, but the constant beeping drove me over the edge. Okay, ants beep. We get it. Stop the constant beeping! Included some terrible sets, deliberately blurred scenes, and fairly ridiculous costuming. In our informal poll of "worst Dr. Who serial" this one replaced the Land of Fiction for overall terribleness.





Here’s the clip - spoilers, obvs: https://youtu.be/J-8FtwsamtY


My one major complaint is that it's very dark and hard to see what is happening, especially in the action scenes. Sadly, a lot of TV shows/movies are that way these days. I've tried adjusting the brightness on my Samsung TV but it doesn't help.

My one major complaint is that it's very dark and hard to see what is happening, especially in the action scenes. Sadly, a lot of TV shows/movies are that way these days. I've tried adjusting the brightness on my Samsung TV but it doesn't help."
It’s not you, and there’s very little the viewer can do to affect the image when it’s delivered that way. It’s the same problem with sound design these days, when the dialogue sounds like whispers and the effects sound like bombs.
I don’t know why these things are all the rage in production these days, but it sucks.
The best thing I’ve watched lately where you can actually see what’s happening at night is Nope, but it was shot day-for-night by combining regular images with processed infrared images, so it appears to be nighttime but they actually filmed it in the middle of the day.

A lot of that problem can be alleviated with a decent soundbar/system. The problem with that is most people don't want to spend more on their sound system than they did on their TV.


It’s impressive as anything you’ll ever see, but if you didn’t like the first one then you won’t like this one.
MASSIVE TRIGGER WARNING - if you can’t handle animals being hurt then definitely do not see this movie. The scenes are necessary but incredibly unpleasant to watch. It doesn’t matter that they’re animated alien animals, it feels real, that’s how good the CGI is.
Several people were openly weeping in the theatre (which was about 1/3 full for a 1:45 show, amazingly). Cameron & co. do not pull any punches here. So yeah, maybe skip this one for the more sensitive.
That said, at the end several people applauded. We left just as the credits were starting in earnest, which was three hours and six minutes after it started. It doesn’t feel that long at all, but don’t try to burst your bladder.
I liked it quite a lot.

Current riff: According to frothing industry articles Black Adam is somehow "bad" because it won't recoup until video. That's the expectation within the industry, and only a few massive hits manage to earn back budget + prints/ads from theatrical, but every lurid film finance article somehow manages to miss this. But somehow Avatar might lose money on theatrical but that's okay because it's like a big promo for streaming. Uh...duh? That's how the frickin' market works!
Bonus stupidity points to article writers if they don't understand that box office isn't film rental. In fact I rarely see the term "film rental" or anything approaching the concept in these articles.
John (Taloni) wrote: "We use subtitles for almost everything. It's especially helpful for stuff in foreign languages, like Dr. Who or other programs from the BBC. *ducks*"
There are American shows that require subtitles. Some people, from some of those southern states have very thick, unintelligible accents.
We are countries divided by a common language.
There are American shows that require subtitles. Some people, from some of those southern states have very thick, unintelligible accents.
We are countries divided by a common language.

There are American shows..."
I am just glad he agrees that Americans do not speak English....

There are American shows..."
The original Mad Max was dubbed in the US. Hilarious southern accents....

I don’t think there are any Southern accents in the dubbed Mad Max. Definitely not for any of the main characters. I recall a fair bit of Midwestern and California ones, though.
When we finally got the original voices back, they mixed the sound in a weird way that made it all muddy. So the new release was actually worse than the original. The sound is so bad that it’s almost unwatchable. I’ve seen the dubbed version at least a dozen times, but I’ve only watched the original 1-1/2. I donated the DVD to a library sale.
One thing I’ve never been able to get Americans to understand is that “mad” in “Mad Max” means “crazy”, not “angry”. They have no problem getting that concept when it comes to the Mad Hatter, but not with Max.

LOL, Back in the day when “Upstairs, Downstairs” was all the rage on broadcast TV, and before CC was a thing, I tried to watch and couldn’t understand anything due to the strong accents.

I dunno. He seemed fairly upset to me.

We originally lemmed Peaky Blinders because of that in the first episode. When a friend insisted we go back and try again because the series was so good we did. It took a few episodes of CC to get through it but he was right - it is a great series.

I don’t think there are any Southern accents in the dubbed Mad Max. Definitely not for any of the main charac..."
Funny how things worked out. I understood Max to be a bit crazy from the first time I saw him. But I’m pretty sure I saw the original trilogy in reverse order. Was interesting to see near the end what drove (no apologies) him to become unhinged. It’s also been a while since I saw Mad Max, but I think I’ve only seen the original, not the dub. But I could easily be mistaken on that. I do remember thinking that the Aussie accent was thicker in that than it was in the other two, but not un-understable.



I run the figures through the Quackometer Model* and conclude this film will be in profit shortly the end of Theatrical, or at worst start of Video. A bona fide hit. Not as huge as Fox would like given its pedigree, but a hit nonetheless.
Quickie "Quackometer" estimates:
Ultimate Domestic Box Office: $400M => Film Rental $250M
Ultimate Foreign Box Office: $700M => Film Rental 350M
Production Budget: $250M
Prints/Ads/Marketing: $300M (best guess for a film so heavily promoted, figures run 0.5 of budget to over the production budget which is where I'm assigning it.)
Total cost: $550M
Theatrical take: $600M
The underpants gnomes say: "Profit!"
* "Quackometer Model" is a 30-second proforma calculation using historical trends from first weekend box office to ultimate box office, and historical film rental percentages for films in similar situations. It expressly avoids gnats-eyelash computations such as film rental by week or theater, video channels and over or underperform. It's for "Sense God Gave A Duck" computations which the industry press somehow manages to miss week after week.
James Cameron says it needs to make $2 Billion to break even.
He may be exaggerating. 😉
I would be surprised if it didn't get above $1 Billion and I think it will be closer to $2 Billion once Box Office, Film Rentals & Movie Sales are added up.
This will have a longer tail that most blockbusters. People who love it will want to see it multiple times on the big screen.
He may be exaggerating. 😉
I would be surprised if it didn't get above $1 Billion and I think it will be closer to $2 Billion once Box Office, Film Rentals & Movie Sales are added up.
This will have a longer tail that most blockbusters. People who love it will want to see it multiple times on the big screen.

* It could be him throwing in the cost for Avatar 3 as part of the overall cost. That's about the same so we'd be looking at doubling the reported budget for Avatar 2 ($250M) and throwing in prints/ads/marketing for Avatar 2.
* Participations could eat into the studio share from first dollar, and no one knows his participation deal better than him. (Participations to Arnold on Terminator 2 were part of what killed Carolco. It was...a lot.)
* Perhaps the marketing cost is even higher than the "insane" estimate. Lord knows you can't get away from ads for this thing.
For a true SWAG at film rental, take the reported box office worldwide and cut it in half. That's the film rental the studio gets. Doing it that way ignores a wide variety of considerations, such as the percent of box office to film rental is substantially higher in week 1 domestic, and very low in China at any time (something like 20%.) Europe is lower than Domestic. You could project the entire world, by country, week by week, and still wind up in the same ballpark. Just with a lot more detail.
Funny story, and one reason why I go with a SWAG regularly. While at Fox Home Video we had an MBA intern in the finance department. He was doing a kind of "make your own internship" project and decided to study whether or not it made sense to do detailed finance projections for films. He found that identifying the genre, star level and budget was as good a predictor of profitability as much more detailed analyses. You can strain at the gnat but the camel is the same size. The finance department looked at his findings, thanked him, and kept on doing things the same way. Why? Because "finance" wasn't about decision making. It was about making the decision makers feel important.


The days of “make money in home video” + “make money from cable” + “make money from broadcast TV” are dead and gone, so there’s a very narrow window to make bank on a film. The Streaming Wars are all but over, too, as subscriptions are flat. Big movies and hit TV series no longer pull in more subscribers, which is why everyone is going to go to some version of their service that includes advertising: it’s the only way to ensure income.
The one holdout may be Amazon, whose video division is an afterthought to their core businesses, so it doesn’t really need to support itself. They might offer it just because everyone else does, and it’s more money in their pocket, but I figure they’ll do it last. Maybe I’m reading that all wrong, but that’s what I foresee currently.
As for Avatar, I think if it earns at least $650 million then Avatar 4 will get made. Avatar 3 is reportedly already done except for final VFX. They likely have enough footage for quite a bit of A4 & A5, if previous comments by Cameron are taken at face value. Apparently A2 was originally 5 hours long. No reason not to shoot some of that stuff while you’re already on set, and in the final film you can kinda see where it’s entirely possible some scenes and character arcs were much longer and more fleshed out.
As it is, the 3+ hours doesn’t feel that long, and I would happily watch a 5-hour extended cut at least once. The Blu-Ray extended cut of Avatar only added like 15 minutes, but two of those scenes were excellent additions.

Now? Video Rental concept is gone, but it's replaced by streaming. What is "video," exactly? There's still sell through. Cable still exists and so does Free TV. Worth a little less but not gone.
Studios famously hide financial information, but that's not the same as being unable to do an analysis. Simply by the fact that large budget movies get made when they regularly won't recoup on Theatrical tells you that there's a healthy ancillary market. But what is the size?
So (Trike) if you wanted to you could argue that "Video" of streaming plus sell through was half of Theatrical and still be within defendable parameters. I'd say it's more like 80%. PTV/FTV each about 20%, that is, less than before but still there.
Streaming will have a longer tail as it cannibalizes sell-through, so there's some offset.
So, FTR the "Quackometer" is:
Domestic: 60% of BO to Film Rental
Foreign: 50% of BO to Film Rental
Total Video (includes Streaming): 80% worldwide Film Rental
PTV/FTV (traditional definitions): 40% worldwide Film Rental
Drop those in your back pocket and have fun with the headlines next big release.

Have also finished out the First Doctor and watched his regeneration on Youtube. More on that later.

https://youtu.be/ZK9meaHDLUc


As far as Scifi, we frikking L O V E D Andor... just finished over New Year's.
We are watching all of SEE (Jason Momoa on Apple tv). Cool concept and the story is well played out over time.
Fantasy -- We are so enjoying Wednesday...nicely done and far better than any other Addams Family show made!
BUT the current most loved fantasy that we are watching is The Witcher: Blood Origin... one last episode to watch the end of this week. And hard to wait!
I also (by myself because the spouse is not a fan of anime) finished watching Dragon Age: Absolution on the 1st of January.

As far as Scifi, we frikking L O V E D Andor... just finished over New Year's.
We are watching all of SEE (Ja..."
Have you watched Dragon Prince and Arkane on Netflix? The first is by the same people who made Avatar and Korra, and the second is just really good.
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