The Transition Movement discussion
Random optimisms
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Ted
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Apr 21, 2013 09:16AM

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The two "random" threads were added just so I could post this link.
http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04...
Sometimes I run across something that does make me glad to be human.
The story came to my attention via a post within our local Transition group. I believe the organic food connection was the focus of the post, but for me (and my wife) the story of this young researcher was the item of most interest.
http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04...
Sometimes I run across something that does make me glad to be human.
The story came to my attention via a post within our local Transition group. I believe the organic food connection was the focus of the post, but for me (and my wife) the story of this young researcher was the item of most interest.

Certainly this and the "pessimisms" thread are meant to be pretty open ended. As it says above "vague" relations to the group theme are all that's required. And "vague" is pretty vague, isn't it.

A few random thoughts after reading the blog you posted a link for:
1. Yikes! 'Conventionally grown food' refers to the industrial food chain!
2. Having been to banana plantations before, I always find it hard to imagine them grown organically (whatever that category means nowadays, but specifically when it comes to not using pesticides).
3. That sophomore student is amazing! Her follow-up study based on issues that emerged from her original project are very interesting, too!
For all the publicity that those studies regarding non-organic food being just as nutritious as organic produce got last summer or so, I'm glad to see others -- including HS students -- mobilizing to counter those claims. It's not just nutritional value that makes organic produce better; this is just one aspect. But it's good to know that there are other ways of looking at this issue that might yield different results, like this study with fruit flies. Very interesting!
Yes, my wife and I are continually amazed at supposedly intelligent articles focusing on nutritional comparisons between industrial and organic food.
We've always felt that the reason we want to buy organic food is to keep away from the industrial chemicals, and perhaps secondarily to get food that likely tastes better.
No reason to ever think that the vitamins, etc in organic food would be much different than in "normal" fruits and vegetables.
By the way, many local CSAs deliver organic, or near-organic, food without being able to say officially that their food is organic. It's apparently a very difficult and lengthy process for a small farm to be certified organic. Many of them are probably in the process without having yet completed the multi-year procedures required, and would already be staying away from the industrial chemicals.
We've always felt that the reason we want to buy organic food is to keep away from the industrial chemicals, and perhaps secondarily to get food that likely tastes better.
No reason to ever think that the vitamins, etc in organic food would be much different than in "normal" fruits and vegetables.
By the way, many local CSAs deliver organic, or near-organic, food without being able to say officially that their food is organic. It's apparently a very difficult and lengthy process for a small farm to be certified organic. Many of them are probably in the process without having yet completed the multi-year procedures required, and would already be staying away from the industrial chemicals.

Like you, for me what's important is the minimal use to no use of chemicals and living in NYC, I sadly have come to expect my produce to not be the tastiest since no matter what, it's mostly coming from miles away. But I do try to buy food from Green Markets (since CSAs can be pricey and the fruits and vegetables can mean quantities that are difficult to manage), which helps improve the taste of food. It's hard to take on corporate farms, but worth it on so many levels. I just worry that responding in this way -- i.e., buying organic, etc. -- leaves the issue mostly unaddressed since expensive food prices just leave out poor and working people to keep eating from corporate farms, expanding inequality. It's such a hard problem to tackle.
I think there is a growing movement based around urban agriculture, which is trying to address the issue of "poor and working people" being able to get non-industrial food.
Will Allen is the first person I heard about involved in this. It's grown a lot since he started his group, but I think he has been a shining light, not least because of his background as a top notch basketball player who played a bit professionally.
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Will_All...
Will Allen is the first person I heard about involved in this. It's grown a lot since he started his group, but I think he has been a shining light, not least because of his background as a top notch basketball player who played a bit professionally.
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Will_All...

I often wonder if I'm too pessimistic, but I just don't see it. Maybe my pessimism is better suited for your other thread on the subject. I don't want to sound like I'm knocking these efforts because at least they're addressing poor people's needs, which you're pointing to. I just wish there was something that could radically change things sooner rather than later. But I guess that's a problem, too, looking for a solution that will fix everything all at once ...
Melissa wrote: "Yes, he's very exciting! His system for growing food, including aquaculture, is impressive! But being from NYC, I have a hard time imagining this on a scale that works. For starters, NYC and oth..."
Maybe the discussion should move to the "pessimisms" thread? :)
Maybe the discussion should move to the "pessimisms" thread? :)

Don't really know where to post this, but it's pretty random and also a source for optimism I think.
As of now, our 21 members have about 2500 friends on Goodreads (thanks to Hend for almost a third of those), so there is room for spreading the word.
Also of the six members who reveal their age, throwing out the oldest (me) the other five have an average age of only 35. That is really good. In our local Transition movement the average age is closer to my age (68) than it is to 35.
I don't think in Howard County we have any active members under 40. Anyone under 50 rocks!
As of now, our 21 members have about 2500 friends on Goodreads (thanks to Hend for almost a third of those), so there is room for spreading the word.
Also of the six members who reveal their age, throwing out the oldest (me) the other five have an average age of only 35. That is really good. In our local Transition movement the average age is closer to my age (68) than it is to 35.
I don't think in Howard County we have any active members under 40. Anyone under 50 rocks!
Of course I don't mean to disparage "older" people. But it's sometimes a bit of a downer when one sees that many of the people who have time to be concerned enough about these problems, and to try do anything about them, are often above 50 or even retired.
True, us older ones are the leading culprits for the mess we're in.
But the younger ones are going to pay the price, and it's in their own self-interest to be involved.
Unfortunately the way of the world is that once you are out of school, career and family concerns naturally take over and it does become very hard to commit time to something that it "over the horizon".
The only thing I can think of saying to young people who "don't have time" for environmental concerns is this: "I know it's difficult. Perhaps you could devote one-half the hours you spend each week watching TV to these things?"
If they watch no TV, fine.
True, us older ones are the leading culprits for the mess we're in.
But the younger ones are going to pay the price, and it's in their own self-interest to be involved.
Unfortunately the way of the world is that once you are out of school, career and family concerns naturally take over and it does become very hard to commit time to something that it "over the horizon".
The only thing I can think of saying to young people who "don't have time" for environmental concerns is this: "I know it's difficult. Perhaps you could devote one-half the hours you spend each week watching TV to these things?"
If they watch no TV, fine.

Anyway, just wanted to return the shout out! :o)
Very interesting observations. Worth thinking about. I do agree with everything you say Melissa.

Yes I think there's something a bit slippery about the optimism/pessimism thing. Maybe the two threads aren't such a good idea?
But this ( http://plantagon.com/ )is certainly a radical and optimistic idea for urban agriculture. The video is mostly a cool image video without a lot of details, but there do appear to be more nitty-gritty info in the drop down menus on top.
This is based in Linkoping Sweden, and is scheduled to open next year.
Other urban ag links, from the latest edition of EDF Solutions :
1.usa.gov/13JkrVB
bit.ly/bj2sGU
http://foodtank.org/
http://www.urbangardensweb.com/
I know that there is a chapter in the book we're going to read that deals with this topic to some extent.
I do believe that the possibilities of urban agriculture are understood better by the optimistic practitioners than by most people. Of course one of the things that must be accepted is that "meat" produced by urban agriculture will probably be limited to chickens and eggs - say goodbye for the most part to beef as a staple of developed world diets.
But this ( http://plantagon.com/ )is certainly a radical and optimistic idea for urban agriculture. The video is mostly a cool image video without a lot of details, but there do appear to be more nitty-gritty info in the drop down menus on top.
This is based in Linkoping Sweden, and is scheduled to open next year.
Other urban ag links, from the latest edition of EDF Solutions :
1.usa.gov/13JkrVB
bit.ly/bj2sGU
http://foodtank.org/
http://www.urbangardensweb.com/
I know that there is a chapter in the book we're going to read that deals with this topic to some extent.
I do believe that the possibilities of urban agriculture are understood better by the optimistic practitioners than by most people. Of course one of the things that must be accepted is that "meat" produced by urban agriculture will probably be limited to chickens and eggs - say goodbye for the most part to beef as a staple of developed world diets.

Food is just one of those areas that I don't see radically changing because there seems to be no political will. And worse, the absolute faith that Americans place on the private sector, combined with distrust of government, leaves me feeling frustrated and pessimistic.
This pessimism/optimism thing really is a slippery slope!! You're trying to make things positive again and I'm not helping. Sorry, Ted!
But on the upside, I agree with you that 'meat' will not mean the same thing we've become accustomed to in industrialized nations. But less cows is a good thing. So at least that would be a very positive change. We should make better use of marine resources and just eat less animals in general. It's not a bad thing, but the opposite, to abandon the large quantity of animal protein consumed in the developed world.
Against all the odds, you once again best me in cynicism/pessimism, Mellisa! :)
But one thing you may be overlooking is that social change (even in the U.S.) can occur with astounding speed when the conditions are right.
Yes we should all be eating less meat, the resources consumed to produce a quarter pound burger are far beyond what the average person could ever guess.
But one thing you may be overlooking is that social change (even in the U.S.) can occur with astounding speed when the conditions are right.
Yes we should all be eating less meat, the resources consumed to produce a quarter pound burger are far beyond what the average person could ever guess.

I suppose many of you are familiar with Obama's remarks made yesterday (6/25/13) about climate change.
I'm wondering what members think of these remarks? Have they made you somewhat optimistic? Or are you cynical and believe that nothing much will come of this?
I'm going to post the same comment on both the "optimisms" and the "pessimisms" discussions.
Reply on one or both threads if you like to make remarks about this.
I'm wondering what members think of these remarks? Have they made you somewhat optimistic? Or are you cynical and believe that nothing much will come of this?
I'm going to post the same comment on both the "optimisms" and the "pessimisms" discussions.
Reply on one or both threads if you like to make remarks about this.

http://www.ted.com/talks/sebastiao_sa...
Caroline wrote: "A friend told me about an amazing Brazilian photographer called Sebastião Salgado. He photographs humanitarian and ecological issues. A film has just been made about him called "Salt of the Eart..."
That is a great talk, Caroline. He's quite a photographer, and a man who's aware of what is going on to a wonderful extent.
That is a great talk, Caroline. He's quite a photographer, and a man who's aware of what is going on to a wonderful extent.
Back in November 2008 I was filled with pride and optimism when Obama was elected president. I thought a new day was dawning for the U.S. Now, 6 1/2 years later, plunged in gloom at my own (and Obama's) naiveté, at the way in which the Republican party immediately rallied around the (at least partly racist) strategy to assure that Obama's would be a failed presidency, I find another man who I am naively (?) hoping will make a true difference.
This time, however, the difference could be felt throughout the world.
Yes, I'm talking about Pope Francis. I no longer have the religious trappings I was brought up with, but I am tentatively filled with hope that the leader of this world religion might somehow be a force for change. Everything he has done so far is uplifting to me, from his laying aside of the harping about abortion, to his seeming acceptance of gay people as human beings, to his crackdown on bishops who have treated abuse by priests with kid gloves, to his many remarks on the dangerous and unethical aspects of global trade and capitalism - and now (in a couple days) to his major encyclical on the environment and global warming, of which a preliminary version was leaked yesterday.
The document associates polluted environments with “global inequality”; the people “hit harder” are those always excluded from consideration, “the majority of those who live on the planet, … billions of people … They get mentioned … but their problems are mostly introduced as an addendum … something peripheral … But today we can’t avoid stating that a true ecological approach must always become a social approach, integrating justice in the debate about environment, so that we listen to the cry of Earth (as well as) to the cry of the poor.”
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015...
Am I once again being naive to think that something momentous may be occurring? I suppose.
Still - hope ... hope ... hope
This time, however, the difference could be felt throughout the world.
Yes, I'm talking about Pope Francis. I no longer have the religious trappings I was brought up with, but I am tentatively filled with hope that the leader of this world religion might somehow be a force for change. Everything he has done so far is uplifting to me, from his laying aside of the harping about abortion, to his seeming acceptance of gay people as human beings, to his crackdown on bishops who have treated abuse by priests with kid gloves, to his many remarks on the dangerous and unethical aspects of global trade and capitalism - and now (in a couple days) to his major encyclical on the environment and global warming, of which a preliminary version was leaked yesterday.
The document associates polluted environments with “global inequality”; the people “hit harder” are those always excluded from consideration, “the majority of those who live on the planet, … billions of people … They get mentioned … but their problems are mostly introduced as an addendum … something peripheral … But today we can’t avoid stating that a true ecological approach must always become a social approach, integrating justice in the debate about environment, so that we listen to the cry of Earth (as well as) to the cry of the poor.”
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015...
Am I once again being naive to think that something momentous may be occurring? I suppose.
Still - hope ... hope ... hope

I was talking to a friend last week who is very much anticipating Pope Francis' address before Congress as he expects the climate and capitalism and global trade issues to be high on his agenda.
So yes, hope, hope.


Something else: Is this group only interested in the ecology and healthy foods or also in animal welfare?
Lilo wrote: "I think that Pope Francis is probably the best pope there ever was, and I am worried about his life. Back in the 1970s, there was also a pope who wanted to "clean house" in the Vatican. He died onl..."
Lilo, the danger you speak of to Francis is something I have thought of also. Hopefully I'm just being paranoid. If something did happen to him I would be very discouraged.
I think animal welfare does enter into the concern about global warming in this way. It is said by some that a major portion of greenhouse gases are produced in growing food for animals - because we want to eat them. Thus it is argued that one way to address the problem would be to convince enormous numbers of people to become vegetarians.
Of course there is a growing concern about the treatment of animals raised for their meat in the industrial farming model which holds here in the States, and in much of the "developed" world. That's an ethical issue which is a little bit apart from the issues that I normally think of in regard to Transition (though there are other ethical issues which I believe are more closely involved).
Lilo, the danger you speak of to Francis is something I have thought of also. Hopefully I'm just being paranoid. If something did happen to him I would be very discouraged.
I think animal welfare does enter into the concern about global warming in this way. It is said by some that a major portion of greenhouse gases are produced in growing food for animals - because we want to eat them. Thus it is argued that one way to address the problem would be to convince enormous numbers of people to become vegetarians.
Of course there is a growing concern about the treatment of animals raised for their meat in the industrial farming model which holds here in the States, and in much of the "developed" world. That's an ethical issue which is a little bit apart from the issues that I normally think of in regard to Transition (though there are other ethical issues which I believe are more closely involved).

I hope you don't mind me butting in. I agree with you Ted. I think there are now a lot of people arguing that we should eat less meat because of the calorie wastage that happens when you get your calories via eating meat... So many people to feed - we can't go squandering calories on feeding animals.
I thought the greenhouse gases were a by product of the animals themselves, not the crops used to feed them though. I would be interested to hear more.
Caroline wrote: "Ted wrote: "Lilo wrote: "I think that Pope Francis is probably the best pope there ever was, and I am worried about his life. Back in the 1970s, there was also a pope who wanted to "clean house" in..."
You're right about the gases coming from the animals! But when the fertilizer, and the tractor driving & transportation required to plant the feed crops, harvest them etc is considered there a fair amount of additional greenhouse gases. I'm not an expert in this, so I can't accurately put percentages on things. I suppose there are numbers out there.
Besides the GH gas issue, there's also the enormous quantity of water needed to grow the feed that grows the meat. Water can be easy to come by in some places, and much more difficult in others, like California for example, with their multi-year drought in progress.
You're right about the gases coming from the animals! But when the fertilizer, and the tractor driving & transportation required to plant the feed crops, harvest them etc is considered there a fair amount of additional greenhouse gases. I'm not an expert in this, so I can't accurately put percentages on things. I suppose there are numbers out there.
Besides the GH gas issue, there's also the enormous quantity of water needed to grow the feed that grows the meat. Water can be easy to come by in some places, and much more difficult in others, like California for example, with their multi-year drought in progress.

This is a link to the Pope's encyclical letter. One thing I don't understand is that near the bottom we find the statement:
"Given in Rome at Saint Peter’s on 24 May, the Solemnity of Pentecost, in the year 2015, the third of my Pontificate."
I thought what all the recent news was about was an encyclical that was just made public a few days ago. If that is correct, then where is that document, and what is the relation between the two.
At any rate: http://w2.vatican.va/content/francesc...
"Given in Rome at Saint Peter’s on 24 May, the Solemnity of Pentecost, in the year 2015, the third of my Pontificate."
I thought what all the recent news was about was an encyclical that was just made public a few days ago. If that is correct, then where is that document, and what is the relation between the two.
At any rate: http://w2.vatican.va/content/francesc...

Caroline, I didn't read it all, or even most of it. It is very long, but I just wanted to post the link here to have it available for myself and others.
What I've seen of it is very impressive. One criticism I've seen a couple of times is that he didn't press on the issue of population control. I suspect that even if the pope were so open minded as to realize that is a legitimate issue, he probably couldn't get away with saying it.
What I've seen of it is very impressive. One criticism I've seen a couple of times is that he didn't press on the issue of population control. I suspect that even if the pope were so open minded as to realize that is a legitimate issue, he probably couldn't get away with saying it.

What I've seen of it is very impressive. On..."
Yes - I agree with you totally.
Here's a review of the Pope's encyclical letter by environmentalist par-excellence Bill McKibben, from the New York Review of Books: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archi...
This is really worth a read.
In two weeks Pope Francis will be in Washington D.C. for a three day visit. He meets with Obama on 9/23, and will address a joint session of Congress the next day. There are plans for a climate rally on the Mall on the 24th, which I hope to attend, though traffic and crowds will probably be immense ... still trying to map out the logistics of this.
This is really worth a read.
In two weeks Pope Francis will be in Washington D.C. for a three day visit. He meets with Obama on 9/23, and will address a joint session of Congress the next day. There are plans for a climate rally on the Mall on the 24th, which I hope to attend, though traffic and crowds will probably be immense ... still trying to map out the logistics of this.
And here's an interesting article about carrot vs stick in addressing climate change.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/...
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/...

I just tried them both, and I didn't have any problem. Perhaps in the U.K. there may be another issue that I don't see?

Traveller wrote: "Oh boy, I see I have a whole big thread to catch up on! Thanks for all the news!"
Glad you could make it, Trav! ;)
Glad you could make it, Trav! ;)
:) Me too!
instead of emphasizing cap-and-trade schemes and penalties on greenhouse gas emissions -- strategies considered to be most efficient by many economists -- policymakers should begin by providing benefits through green industrial policies, such as subsidies and tax rebates.
That sounds sensible to me.
instead of emphasizing cap-and-trade schemes and penalties on greenhouse gas emissions -- strategies considered to be most efficient by many economists -- policymakers should begin by providing benefits through green industrial policies, such as subsidies and tax rebates.
That sounds sensible to me.
Caroline wrote: "Hi Ted, Thank you, but I misled you, the problem is a personal one relating to my computer connections. I am at the moment liaising with my ISP in an effort to sort it out..."
No, you didn't mislead Caroline, I was only trying to make sure that the links seemed to be okay. I understood that you thought you had an issue at your end, and concluded that you were probably correct.
No, you didn't mislead Caroline, I was only trying to make sure that the links seemed to be okay. I understood that you thought you had an issue at your end, and concluded that you were probably correct.

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/201...
Jan wrote: "I'm not sure if what I read today was an optimism, Ted, but maybe it is in the sense of increasing clarity--always a reason for optimism. I'm speaking of the lead-off piece in the 1/11/16 New Yorke..."
Yes, I did read it, but it had quite slipped my mind. I think because, like you, I didn't quite know what to make of it, though it was certainly interesting (I had never heard of that European famine before). Perhaps your "increasing clarity" is a good way of putting it, Jan.
And speaking of random optimisms, there's a story in the Post today reporting record new investments and record increased power output in solar and wind in 2015, despite the sinking prices of fossil fuels.
I keep wondering what part, if any, the divestment campaign (and the big events of last year, the Pope's encyclical on climate change and the Paris agreements) are cumulatively beginning to sink into the investment community. I think more people are starting to realize that the book value of the fossil fuel companies, predicated on the reserves of fossil fuel in the ground that they own, are overstated, perhaps vastly. For most of those reserves surely cannot be recovered and burned for any purpose, if the world is to survive as a livable place for us humans over the next several decades.
Yes, I did read it, but it had quite slipped my mind. I think because, like you, I didn't quite know what to make of it, though it was certainly interesting (I had never heard of that European famine before). Perhaps your "increasing clarity" is a good way of putting it, Jan.
And speaking of random optimisms, there's a story in the Post today reporting record new investments and record increased power output in solar and wind in 2015, despite the sinking prices of fossil fuels.
I keep wondering what part, if any, the divestment campaign (and the big events of last year, the Pope's encyclical on climate change and the Paris agreements) are cumulatively beginning to sink into the investment community. I think more people are starting to realize that the book value of the fossil fuel companies, predicated on the reserves of fossil fuel in the ground that they own, are overstated, perhaps vastly. For most of those reserves surely cannot be recovered and burned for any purpose, if the world is to survive as a livable place for us humans over the next several decades.

I'll invite my GR friend Mike Robbins to this group. He works for the (US or UK?) government and lives in New York.
Mike Robbins is the author of two books of travel memoirs, three books of fiction, and a scientific book on climate change. He has been a journalist, traveller, development worker and climate-change researcher.
You might wish to check out his author page:
https://www.goodreads.com/author/show...
Lilo wrote: "I just happened to see a Notification of new comments to this group discussion. The last comment I had seen was my own # 29 of June 16. I better change my settings so that I will receive e-mail not..."
Thanks, Lilo. Sure give him an invite, though it's not a very exciting group.
Thanks, Lilo. Sure give him an invite, though it's not a very exciting group.