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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“The correct answer should be that the probability of being afflicted with the disease for someone selected at random who presented a positive test is the following ratio: Number of afflicted persons
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Number of true and false positives here 1 in 51.”

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets (Incerto, #1) Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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