The only problem, of course, is that real human beings are neither perfectly rational nor perfectly predictable—as the physicists pointed out at great length. Furthermore, as several of them also pointed out, there are real theoretical pitfalls in assuming perfect predictions, even if you do assume that people are perfectly rational. In nonlinear systems—and the economy is most certainly nonlinear—chaos theory tells you that the slightest uncertainty in your knowledge of the initial conditions will often grow inexorably. After a while, your predictions are nonsense.