Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models
Rate it:
Open Preview
6%
Flag icon
However, it is very easy to be wrong about other people’s motivations. You may assume they share your perspective or context, think like you do, or have circumstances similar to yours. With such assumptions, you may conclude that they should also behave like you would or hold your beliefs. Unfortunately, often these assumptions are wrong.
6%
Flag icon
In any conflict between two people, there are two sides of the story. Then there is the third story, the story that a third, impartial observer would recount.
6%
Flag icon
Imagine a complete recording of the situation, and then try to think about what an outside audience would say was happening if they watched or listened to the recording.
6%
Flag icon
Another tactical model that can help you empathize is the most respectful interpretation, or MRI.
6%
Flag icon
MRI asks you to you interpret the other parties’ actions in the most respectful way possible. It’s giving people the benefit of the doubt.
6%
Flag icon
MRI asks you to approach a situation from a perspective of respect. You remain open to other interpretations and withhold judgment until necessary.
6%
Flag icon
called Hanlon’s razor: never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by carelessness.
6%
Flag icon
Hanlon’s razor says the person probably just didn’t take enough time and care in crafting their message.
6%
Flag icon
The third story, most respectful interpretation, and Hanlon’s razor are all attempts to overcome what psychologists call the fundamental attribution error, where you frequently make errors by attributing others’ behaviors to their internal, or fundamental, motivations rather than external factors.
6%
Flag icon
You of course tend to view your own behavior in the opposite way, which is called self-serving bias.
7%
Flag icon
veil of ignorance, put forth by philosopher John Rawls. It holds that when thinking about how society should be organized, we should do so by imagining ourselves ignorant of our particular place in the world, as if there were a veil preventing us from knowing who we are. Rawls refers to this as the “original position.”
7%
Flag icon
Speaking of privilege, we (the authors) often say we are lucky to have won the birth lottery. Not only were we not born into slavery, but we were also not born into almost any disadvantaged group.
7%
Flag icon
can be challenging to acknowledge that a good portion of your success stems from luck.
7%
Flag icon
just world hypothesis, where people always get what they deserve, good or bad, because of their actions alone, with no accounting for luck or randomness.
7%
Flag icon
Ironically, belief in a just world can get in the way of actual justice by leading people to victim-blame: The sexual assault victim “should have worn different clothes” or the welfare recipient “is just lazy.”
7%
Flag icon
The problem with the just world hypothesis and victim-blaming is that they make broad judgments about why things are happening to people that are often inaccurate at the individual level.
7%
Flag icon
learned helplessness can make it hard for some people to strive for improvement without some assistance.
7%
Flag icon
Someone learns that they are helpless to control their circumstances, so they give up trying to change them.
7%
Flag icon
And the strategy actually saves on average eight thousand dollars per person in annual expenses, as the chronic homeless tend to use a lot of public resources, such as hospitals, jails, and shelters.
7%
Flag icon
People can also exhibit learned helplessness in everyday circumstances, believing they are incapable of doing or learning certain things, such as public speaking or using new technologies.
7%
Flag icon
You don’t want to make a fundamental attribution error by assuming that your colleague is incapable of doing something when they really just need the proper guidance.
7%
Flag icon
All the mental models in this section—from the third story to learned helplessness—can help you increase your empathy.
7%
Flag icon
In other words, it can be very difficult to convince you of a new idea when a contradictory idea is already entrenched in your thinking.
7%
Flag icon
paradigm shift model, describing how accepted scientific theories change over time.
7%
Flag icon
“A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it,”
7%
Flag icon
“Science progresses one funeral at a time.”
7%
Flag icon
the continents drift across the oceans.
7%
Flag icon
Instead of helping to investigate Wegener’s theory (which certainly wasn’t perfect but had promise), geologists chose to hold on to this incorrect land bridge theory until the evidence for continental drift was so overwhelming that a paradigm shift occurred.
8%
Flag icon
Semmelweis obsessed about this difference, painstakingly eliminating all variables until he was left with just one: doctors versus midwives. After studying doctor behavior, he concluded that it must be due to their handling of the cadavers and instituted a practice of washing hands with a solution of chlorinated lime. The death rate immediately dropped to match that in the other part of the hospital.
8%
Flag icon
Like Wegener, Semmelweis didn’t fully understand the scientific mechanism that underpinned his theory and crafted an initial explanation that turned out to be somewhat incorrect.
8%
Flag icon
Semmelweis reflex.
8%
Flag icon
new information in a biased way to confirm preexisting beliefs is called confirmation bias.
8%
Flag icon
There is a reason why many startup companies that disrupt industries are founded by industry outsiders.
8%
Flag icon
backfire effect that describes the phenomenon of digging in further on a position when faced with clear evidence that disproves it. In other words, it often backfires when people try to change your mind with facts and figures, having the opposite effect on you than it should; you become more entrenched in the original, incorrect position, not less.
8%
Flag icon
You may also succumb to holding on to incorrect beliefs because of disconfirmation bias,
8%
Flag icon
When our bathroom scale delivers bad news, we hop off and then on again, just to make sure we didn’t misread the display or put too much pressure on one foot. When our scale delivers good news, we smile and head for the shower. By uncritically accepting evidence when it pleases us, and insisting on more when it doesn’t, we subtly tip the scales in our favor.
8%
Flag icon
cognitive dissonance
8%
Flag icon
Instead of dealing with the underlying cause of this stress—the fact that we might actually be wrong—we take the easy way out and rationalize the conflicting information away. It’s a survival instinct!
8%
Flag icon
A real trick to being wrong less is to fight your instincts to dismiss new information and instead to embrace new ways of thinking and new paradigms.
8%
Flag icon
First, consider thinking gray,
8%
Flag icon
The Contrarian’s Guide to Leadership.
8%
Flag icon
A truly effective leader, however, needs to be able to see the shades of gray inherent in a situation in order to make wise decisions as to how to proceed.
8%
Flag icon
don’t form an opinion about an important matter until you’ve heard all the relevant facts and arguments, or until circumstances force you to form an opinion without recourse to all the facts (which happens occasionally, but much less frequently than one might imagine).
8%
Flag icon
once described something similar to thinking gray when he observed that the test of a first-rate mind is the ability to hold two opposing thoughts at the same time while still retaining the ability to function.
8%
Flag icon
By delaying decision making, you avoid confirmation bias since you haven’t yet made a decision to confirm!
8%
Flag icon
Devil’s advocate position.
8%
Flag icon
Once someone is canonized, the decision is eternal, so it was critical to get it right. Hence this position was created for someone to advocate from the Devil’s point of view against the deceased person’s case for sainthood.
8%
Flag icon
One approach is to force yourself literally to write down different cases for a given decision or appoint different members in a group to do
8%
Flag icon
Another, more effective approach is to proactively include people in a decision-making process who are known to hold opposing viewpoints.
8%
Flag icon
“I never allow myself to have an opinion on anything that I don’t know the other side’s argument better than they do.”